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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.86+6.15vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.04+3.76vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+4.15vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.10+1.59vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.19+0.20vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.93+3.88vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+1.68vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.48+3.19vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.45-0.33vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.99-0.46vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.22-2.24vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.51-4.31vs Predicted
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13George Washington University0.96-3.13vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University0.68-3.27vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy-0.22-1.86vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College1.71-8.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.15Yale University1.867.4%1st Place
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5.76Brown University2.0411.1%1st Place
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7.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.637.0%1st Place
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5.59Harvard University2.1011.2%1st Place
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5.2Stanford University2.1913.4%1st Place
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9.88Tufts University0.933.6%1st Place
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8.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.3%1st Place
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11.19University of Vermont0.482.8%1st Place
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8.67University of Pennsylvania1.454.7%1st Place
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9.54University of Rhode Island0.994.0%1st Place
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8.76Northeastern University1.226.2%1st Place
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7.69Bowdoin College1.517.0%1st Place
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9.87George Washington University0.963.9%1st Place
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10.73Old Dominion University0.682.5%1st Place
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13.14U. S. Naval Academy-0.221.2%1st Place
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7.01Dartmouth College1.718.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grimes | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 11.1% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Cordelia Burn | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sophie Fisher | 13.4% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 6.8% |
| Emma Snead | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 3.8% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 16.2% |
| Madeleine Rice | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 5.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 3.5% |
| Kyra Phelan | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 5.2% |
| Megan Geith | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 11.3% |
| Isabella Fadullon | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 14.8% | 42.3% |
| bella casaretto | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.