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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.62+3.62vs Predicted
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2Columbia University2.43+3.16vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania3.16+0.50vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.51+1.11vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.51-0.15vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.57+1.77vs Predicted
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7University of Buffalo0.92+2.48vs Predicted
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8William and Mary1.29+0.31vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.67-4.27vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41-1.94vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia-1.52+4.19vs Predicted
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12Drexel University0.22-0.62vs Predicted
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13Princeton University0.03-1.10vs Predicted
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14Syracuse University0.43-3.04vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland-1.03-0.71vs Predicted
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16Hampton University-0.35-3.10vs Predicted
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17University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.21-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.62St. Mary's College of Maryland2.620.1%1st Place
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5.16Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
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3.5University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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5.11U. S. Naval Academy2.510.1%1st Place
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4.85Old Dominion University2.510.1%1st Place
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7.77Christopher Newport University1.570.0%1st Place
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9.48University of Buffalo0.920.0%1st Place
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8.31William and Mary1.290.0%1st Place
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4.73George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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8.06U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.410.0%1st Place
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15.19University of Virginia-1.520.0%1st Place
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11.38Drexel University0.220.0%1st Place
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11.9Princeton University0.030.0%1st Place
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10.96Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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14.29University of Maryland-1.030.0%1st Place
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12.9Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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14.78University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Galster | 13.9% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Irene Jacqz | 10.5% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 22.0% | 18.9% | 16.7% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Peck | 11.3% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Spracher | 12.4% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard Ross | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cem Ayanoglu | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Scott Guinn | 4.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 10.2% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Gardner | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Michael Keane | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 14.2% | 21.0% | 41.2% |
| Stephen Ciccariello | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 1.1% |
| Elizabeth Sipp | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 3.7% |
| Harmen Rockler | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 8.8% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Brandon Gotwalt | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 18.6% | 23.1% | 20.6% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 17.0% | 16.6% | 12.0% | 6.0% |
| Christopher Cormier | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 16.3% | 25.9% | 26.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.