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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.57+6.45vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.67+2.58vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.62+1.75vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania3.16-0.48vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.51-0.13vs Predicted
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6Columbia University2.43-0.62vs Predicted
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7University of Buffalo0.92+2.47vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41-0.09vs Predicted
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9Princeton University0.03+2.98vs Predicted
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10William and Mary1.29-1.61vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.51-5.85vs Predicted
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12Syracuse University0.43-1.16vs Predicted
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13Drexel University0.22-1.55vs Predicted
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14Hampton University-0.35-1.06vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland-1.03-0.73vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.21-1.26vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia-1.52-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.45Christopher Newport University1.570.1%1st Place
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4.58George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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4.75St. Mary's College of Maryland2.620.1%1st Place
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3.52University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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4.87U. S. Naval Academy2.510.1%1st Place
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5.38Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
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9.47University of Buffalo0.920.0%1st Place
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7.91U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.410.0%1st Place
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11.98Princeton University0.030.0%1st Place
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8.39William and Mary1.290.0%1st Place
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5.15Old Dominion University2.510.1%1st Place
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10.84Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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11.45Drexel University0.220.0%1st Place
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12.94Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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14.27University of Maryland-1.030.0%1st Place
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14.74University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.210.0%1st Place
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15.29University of Virginia-1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Ross | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 13.1% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Galster | 11.0% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 22.0% | 19.4% | 15.9% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Peck | 13.2% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Irene Jacqz | 10.6% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cem Ayanoglu | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| James Gardner | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Sipp | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 6.7% | 2.5% |
| Scott Guinn | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Spracher | 11.1% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harmen Rockler | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Stephen Ciccariello | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 1.9% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 15.9% | 17.2% | 14.4% | 6.1% |
| Brandon Gotwalt | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 17.3% | 22.7% | 21.1% |
| Christopher Cormier | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 17.8% | 23.9% | 26.5% |
| Michael Keane | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 21.7% | 40.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.