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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.19+4.25vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.86+5.07vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.04+2.94vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.71+2.93vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.10+0.60vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+0.92vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.51+0.66vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.22+0.76vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.93+0.92vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy-0.22+3.39vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.99-1.44vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University0.68-1.39vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.45-4.38vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-5.36vs Predicted
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15George Washington University0.96-5.13vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.48-4.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.25Stanford University2.1912.8%1st Place
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7.07Yale University1.867.6%1st Place
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5.94Brown University2.0410.9%1st Place
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6.93Dartmouth College1.717.7%1st Place
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5.6Harvard University2.1012.7%1st Place
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6.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.638.5%1st Place
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7.66Bowdoin College1.515.9%1st Place
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8.76Northeastern University1.224.9%1st Place
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9.92Tufts University0.933.9%1st Place
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13.39U. S. Naval Academy-0.220.8%1st Place
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9.56University of Rhode Island0.994.4%1st Place
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10.61Old Dominion University0.683.0%1st Place
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8.62University of Pennsylvania1.455.8%1st Place
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8.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.604.6%1st Place
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9.87George Washington University0.963.6%1st Place
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11.28University of Vermont0.482.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 12.8% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Megan Grimes | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 10.9% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| bella casaretto | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Cordelia Burn | 12.7% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Kyra Phelan | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 6.9% |
| Isabella Fadullon | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 43.5% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 5.6% |
| Megan Geith | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 11.1% |
| Madeleine Rice | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.1% |
| Emma Snead | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 4.9% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 16.6% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.