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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.10+4.58vs Predicted
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2George Washington University0.96+7.85vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+5.74vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.19+1.32vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy-0.22+8.37vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.04-0.25vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.68+3.62vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.71-1.19vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.86-1.95vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.45-1.25vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.99-1.52vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.93-1.96vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-6.03vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.51-6.37vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.22-6.14vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.48-4.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.58Harvard University2.1012.7%1st Place
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9.85George Washington University0.963.8%1st Place
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8.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.604.0%1st Place
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5.32Stanford University2.1912.7%1st Place
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13.37U. S. Naval Academy-0.221.3%1st Place
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5.75Brown University2.0410.9%1st Place
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10.62Old Dominion University0.682.7%1st Place
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6.81Dartmouth College1.719.4%1st Place
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7.05Yale University1.868.8%1st Place
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8.75University of Pennsylvania1.455.4%1st Place
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9.48University of Rhode Island0.993.5%1st Place
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10.04Tufts University0.933.6%1st Place
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6.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.637.5%1st Place
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7.63Bowdoin College1.516.8%1st Place
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8.86Northeastern University1.224.5%1st Place
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11.18University of Vermont0.482.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 12.7% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 5.8% |
| Emma Snead | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.0% |
| Sophie Fisher | 12.7% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Isabella Fadullon | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 16.1% | 42.9% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 10.9% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Megan Geith | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 10.9% |
| bella casaretto | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Megan Grimes | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Madeleine Rice | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 4.8% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 7.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Kyra Phelan | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 2.8% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 15.3% | 16.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.