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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.62+3.61vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.51+2.92vs Predicted
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3Columbia University2.43+2.19vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania3.16-0.41vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41+2.98vs Predicted
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6William and Mary1.29+2.55vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.51-2.00vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.57-0.56vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.67-4.30vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University0.43+0.90vs Predicted
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11Drexel University0.22+0.41vs Predicted
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12Hampton University-0.35+0.87vs Predicted
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13University of Buffalo0.92-3.43vs Predicted
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14Princeton University0.03-2.01vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland-1.03-0.73vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.21-1.27vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia-1.52-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.61St. Mary's College of Maryland2.620.1%1st Place
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4.92U. S. Naval Academy2.510.1%1st Place
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5.19Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
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3.59University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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7.98U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.410.0%1st Place
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8.55William and Mary1.290.0%1st Place
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5.0Old Dominion University2.510.1%1st Place
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7.44Christopher Newport University1.570.1%1st Place
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4.7George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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10.9Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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11.41Drexel University0.220.0%1st Place
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12.87Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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9.57University of Buffalo0.920.0%1st Place
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11.99Princeton University0.030.0%1st Place
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14.27University of Maryland-1.030.0%1st Place
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14.73University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.210.0%1st Place
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15.27University of Virginia-1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Galster | 14.6% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Peck | 12.2% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Irene Jacqz | 10.6% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 21.3% | 19.1% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Gardner | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Scott Guinn | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Spracher | 10.5% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard Ross | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 11.2% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harmen Rockler | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Stephen Ciccariello | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 15.6% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 1.5% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 17.9% | 14.4% | 5.4% |
| Cem Ayanoglu | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Sipp | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 7.7% | 2.4% |
| Brandon Gotwalt | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 23.7% | 20.8% |
| Christopher Cormier | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 17.4% | 21.8% | 28.0% |
| Michael Keane | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 13.2% | 21.7% | 40.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.