← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University2.10+4.71vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+5.16vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University0.96+6.96vs Predicted
-
4Yale University1.86+3.16vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University2.19+0.43vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University1.22+2.87vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College1.71+0.15vs Predicted
-
8Brown University2.04-2.14vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Naval Academy1.18+0.24vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont0.48+1.53vs Predicted
-
11Bowdoin College1.51-3.15vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-3.15vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University0.93-2.88vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island0.99-4.33vs Predicted
-
15Old Dominion University0.27-2.80vs Predicted
-
16University of Pennsylvania1.16-6.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.71Harvard University2.1012.3%1st Place
-
7.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.637.1%1st Place
-
9.96George Washington University0.964.0%1st Place
-
7.16Yale University1.867.8%1st Place
-
5.43Stanford University2.1913.2%1st Place
-
8.87Northeastern University1.225.0%1st Place
-
7.15Dartmouth College1.717.3%1st Place
-
5.86Brown University2.0411.1%1st Place
-
9.24U. S. Naval Academy1.184.3%1st Place
-
11.53University of Vermont0.481.9%1st Place
-
7.85Bowdoin College1.516.0%1st Place
-
8.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.7%1st Place
-
10.12Tufts University0.934.2%1st Place
-
9.67University of Rhode Island0.993.5%1st Place
-
12.2Old Dominion University0.272.0%1st Place
-
9.24University of Pennsylvania1.164.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 12.3% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% |
| Megan Grimes | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Sophie Fisher | 13.2% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.0% |
| bella casaretto | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 11.1% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Ava Farley | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 20.1% |
| Kyra Phelan | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Emma Snead | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 7.0% |
| Emma Friedauer | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 13.8% | 30.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.