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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania3.16+2.38vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.62+2.59vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.57+4.63vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.67+0.62vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.51-0.15vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.51-0.97vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University0.43+3.81vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-2.12vs Predicted
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9University of Buffalo0.92+0.63vs Predicted
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10Drexel University1.06-0.94vs Predicted
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11Columbia University1.02-1.72vs Predicted
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12Hampton University-0.35+0.81vs Predicted
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13William and Mary1.29-4.54vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland-1.03+0.22vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.21-0.56vs Predicted
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16Princeton University0.03-4.06vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia-2.67-0.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38University of Pennsylvania3.160.2%1st Place
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4.59St. Mary's College of Maryland2.620.1%1st Place
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7.63Christopher Newport University1.570.0%1st Place
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4.62George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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4.85Old Dominion University2.510.1%1st Place
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5.03U. S. Naval Academy2.510.1%1st Place
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10.81Syracuse University0.430.0%1st Place
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5.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.1%1st Place
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9.63University of Buffalo0.920.0%1st Place
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9.06Drexel University1.060.0%1st Place
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9.28Columbia University1.020.0%1st Place
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12.81Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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8.46William and Mary1.290.0%1st Place
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14.22University of Maryland-1.030.0%1st Place
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14.44University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.210.0%1st Place
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11.94Princeton University0.030.0%1st Place
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16.39University of Virginia-2.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Swikart | 22.8% | 20.2% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Galster | 13.4% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard Ross | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 13.4% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Spracher | 12.1% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Peck | 10.2% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harmen Rockler | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 7.9% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Watterson | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cem Ayanoglu | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Jakub Tyczynski | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| John Koehler | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 12.0% | 18.3% | 22.2% | 10.9% | 2.9% |
| Scott Guinn | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Gotwalt | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 14.0% | 22.3% | 29.3% | 9.8% |
| Christopher Cormier | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 20.1% | 34.1% | 12.4% |
| Elizabeth Sipp | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 18.0% | 12.1% | 7.1% | 1.0% |
| Erick Chiroles | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 13.7% | 73.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.