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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.04+4.89vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.10+3.67vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.99+6.71vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.19+1.46vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+2.09vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.86+1.07vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+1.84vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.93+2.24vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.16+0.16vs Predicted
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10George Washington University0.96-0.12vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.22-2.13vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.71-4.99vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.51-5.10vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy1.18-4.94vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.48-3.26vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University0.27-3.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.89Brown University2.0411.1%1st Place
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5.67Harvard University2.1011.6%1st Place
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9.71University of Rhode Island0.993.7%1st Place
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5.46Stanford University2.1911.4%1st Place
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7.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.638.9%1st Place
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7.07Yale University1.868.3%1st Place
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8.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.604.1%1st Place
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10.24Tufts University0.933.4%1st Place
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9.16University of Pennsylvania1.165.1%1st Place
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9.88George Washington University0.964.2%1st Place
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8.87Northeastern University1.225.3%1st Place
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7.01Dartmouth College1.718.9%1st Place
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7.9Bowdoin College1.516.7%1st Place
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9.06U. S. Naval Academy1.184.0%1st Place
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11.74University of Vermont0.482.0%1st Place
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12.41Old Dominion University0.271.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brielle Willoughby | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.4% |
| Sophie Fisher | 11.4% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Megan Grimes | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Emma Snead | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 3.9% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 9.2% |
| Adra Ivancich | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.8% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.0% |
| bella casaretto | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Kyra Phelan | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Ava Farley | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 14.8% | 21.2% |
| Emma Friedauer | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 30.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.