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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.10+4.67vs Predicted
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2George Washington University0.96+7.93vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.86+4.22vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.04+1.93vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.22+4.04vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.19-0.62vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+1.99vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-0.89vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College1.71-2.00vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.51-2.07vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.99-1.44vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University0.27+0.29vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy1.18-3.80vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.48-2.40vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.93-4.99vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.16-6.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.67Harvard University2.1011.1%1st Place
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9.93George Washington University0.964.2%1st Place
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7.22Yale University1.868.2%1st Place
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5.93Brown University2.0411.3%1st Place
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9.04Northeastern University1.224.8%1st Place
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5.38Stanford University2.1912.4%1st Place
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8.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.604.1%1st Place
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7.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.638.5%1st Place
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7.0Dartmouth College1.718.2%1st Place
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7.93Bowdoin College1.516.2%1st Place
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9.56University of Rhode Island0.994.2%1st Place
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12.29Old Dominion University0.271.9%1st Place
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9.2U. S. Naval Academy1.184.4%1st Place
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11.6University of Vermont0.482.8%1st Place
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10.01Tufts University0.933.2%1st Place
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9.14University of Pennsylvania1.164.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 11.1% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.0% |
| Megan Grimes | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 11.3% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.7% |
| Sophie Fisher | 12.4% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emma Snead | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| bella casaretto | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Kyra Phelan | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% |
| Emma Friedauer | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 16.2% | 29.1% |
| Ava Farley | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 20.7% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.3% |
| Adra Ivancich | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.