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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.71+6.20vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.10+3.74vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+3.84vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+4.80vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.04+1.06vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.22+2.73vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.86+0.29vs Predicted
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8George Washington University0.96+1.94vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.51-1.07vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.93+0.10vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.19-5.67vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.99-2.32vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.48-1.44vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.16-4.75vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy1.18-5.77vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University0.27-3.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.2Dartmouth College1.716.9%1st Place
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5.74Harvard University2.1014.3%1st Place
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6.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.638.8%1st Place
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8.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.4%1st Place
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6.06Brown University2.0411.0%1st Place
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8.73Northeastern University1.225.2%1st Place
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7.29Yale University1.865.1%1st Place
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9.94George Washington University0.963.5%1st Place
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7.93Bowdoin College1.515.5%1st Place
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10.1Tufts University0.933.5%1st Place
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5.33Stanford University2.1913.2%1st Place
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9.68University of Rhode Island0.993.5%1st Place
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11.56University of Vermont0.482.5%1st Place
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9.25University of Pennsylvania1.164.9%1st Place
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9.23U. S. Naval Academy1.185.0%1st Place
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12.31Old Dominion University0.271.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bella casaretto | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Cordelia Burn | 14.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Brock | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Emma Snead | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.2% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% |
| Megan Grimes | 5.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.2% |
| Kyra Phelan | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 9.5% |
| Sophie Fisher | 13.2% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 14.4% | 20.1% |
| Adra Ivancich | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% |
| Ava Farley | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% |
| Emma Friedauer | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 15.8% | 29.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.