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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.66+1.46vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.70+1.89vs Predicted
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3Marquette University0.32+1.49vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-0.49+2.20vs Predicted
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5Indiana University1.19-1.87vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-0.49+0.06vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-0.64-0.64vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin0.36-3.54vs Predicted
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9Indiana University-1.80-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.46Northwestern University1.6633.3%1st Place
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3.89University of Wisconsin0.7013.5%1st Place
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4.49Marquette University0.3210.0%1st Place
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6.2Purdue University-0.493.2%1st Place
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3.13Indiana University1.1921.2%1st Place
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6.06Ohio State University-0.494.6%1st Place
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6.36University of Michigan-0.643.8%1st Place
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4.46University of Wisconsin0.369.4%1st Place
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7.94Indiana University-1.800.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Delaney Smith | 33.3% | 26.8% | 17.5% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Mary Castellini | 13.5% | 13.6% | 17.4% | 18.4% | 15.2% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
Brittany Shabino | 10.0% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 15.7% | 15.9% | 12.3% | 5.8% | 1.5% |
Nok In Chan | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 14.8% | 19.0% | 22.4% | 11.7% |
Nithya Balachander | 21.2% | 21.1% | 20.4% | 14.6% | 11.6% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
Molly Sheridan | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 18.7% | 20.8% | 11.2% |
Katherine Simcoe | 3.8% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 18.3% | 25.0% | 14.5% |
Annabel Bridges | 9.4% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 11.1% | 6.0% | 1.4% |
Taylor Longhitano | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 9.3% | 16.0% | 59.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.