Race 3A

women-emily-wick-sloop-shrew

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

12.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Chandler Salisbury 5.0% 7.4% 7.1% 6.3% 6.6% 7.2% 4.6% 6.7% 6.5% 5.9% 6.2% 6.4% 6.8% 5.8% 7.3% 4.2%
Emily Maxwell 8.0% 8.5% 7.4% 8.5% 7.0% 6.1% 7.9% 6.4% 6.6% 6.3% 6.8% 4.6% 5.6% 4.4% 3.0% 2.9%
Emily Lambert 9.2% 9.0% 8.7% 7.5% 8.6% 8.0% 7.4% 7.1% 7.6% 6.5% 5.0% 4.5% 3.6% 3.4% 2.3% 1.6%
Claire Dennis 7.0% 8.2% 7.8% 7.4% 7.1% 6.5% 6.0% 7.5% 6.2% 6.8% 7.1% 5.9% 4.9% 5.2% 3.1% 3.3%
Elizabeth Glivinski 3.6% 3.6% 3.1% 4.2% 3.9% 4.1% 5.5% 4.9% 4.3% 5.7% 7.8% 7.6% 7.9% 7.8% 12.5% 13.5%
Katii Gullick 4.4% 3.4% 4.9% 4.4% 6.2% 6.4% 5.7% 6.2% 5.8% 4.7% 6.8% 6.5% 7.5% 8.1% 8.8% 10.2%
Charlotte Williamson 3.8% 3.9% 3.5% 4.3% 3.7% 3.8% 4.6% 4.9% 4.7% 5.0% 6.4% 7.1% 7.4% 9.4% 11.0% 16.5%
Corey Hall 6.1% 6.4% 6.9% 5.7% 6.5% 5.7% 6.0% 6.8% 5.0% 7.6% 6.8% 7.3% 6.0% 6.0% 5.3% 5.9%
Chanel Miller 4.7% 5.4% 5.2% 4.5% 4.8% 6.4% 5.7% 6.4% 5.5% 7.9% 4.5% 8.5% 6.7% 7.2% 7.6% 9.0%
Elizabeth Barry 10.1% 8.5% 9.7% 7.6% 9.8% 7.9% 9.5% 6.8% 8.2% 5.2% 3.7% 3.6% 3.5% 3.2% 1.9% 0.8%
Natalie Salk 8.9% 6.6% 7.1% 7.8% 7.3% 6.8% 5.3% 6.8% 8.1% 6.7% 5.3% 5.8% 6.7% 4.7% 3.8% 2.3%
Mayumi Roller 8.2% 7.6% 8.0% 8.4% 6.5% 6.0% 7.7% 5.5% 6.1% 6.0% 5.7% 6.1% 5.8% 5.3% 3.6% 3.5%
Krysta Rohde 5.8% 6.0% 6.9% 6.8% 6.3% 6.9% 6.7% 6.8% 7.1% 7.1% 5.3% 7.0% 6.2% 5.0% 6.4% 3.7%
Alexandra Arntsen 4.4% 4.1% 3.9% 4.5% 4.6% 6.2% 5.3% 5.8% 5.3% 5.5% 7.9% 5.7% 7.1% 9.4% 9.5% 10.8%
Morgan Wilson 7.0% 6.6% 6.9% 6.5% 6.8% 7.0% 6.9% 6.2% 6.1% 6.2% 7.4% 6.3% 6.2% 7.3% 3.9% 2.7%
Lucy Wallace 3.8% 4.8% 2.9% 5.6% 4.3% 5.0% 5.2% 5.2% 6.9% 6.9% 7.3% 7.1% 8.1% 7.8% 10.0% 9.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.