← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida1.60+2.79vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston1.81+1.34vs Predicted
-
3Rollins College0.58+2.51vs Predicted
-
4Clemson University0.73+0.76vs Predicted
-
5Jacksonville University-1.38-1.64vs Predicted
-
6North Carolina State University0.26+0.17vs Predicted
-
7University of Florida-0.98+0.57vs Predicted
-
8University of Miami-0.03-1.41vs Predicted
-
9Florida State University-0.27-1.74vs Predicted
-
10University of North Carolina-0.46-2.16vs Predicted
-
11University of Central Florida-1.67-1.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.79University of South Florida1.6017.6%1st Place
-
3.34College of Charleston1.8121.9%1st Place
-
5.51Rollins College0.588.3%1st Place
-
4.76Clemson University0.7310.2%1st Place
-
3.36Jacksonville University-1.3821.3%1st Place
-
6.17North Carolina State University0.265.2%1st Place
-
7.57University of Florida-0.982.9%1st Place
-
6.59University of Miami-0.035.1%1st Place
-
7.26Florida State University-0.273.9%1st Place
-
7.84University of North Carolina-0.462.8%1st Place
-
9.82University of Central Florida-1.670.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kay Brunsvold | 17.6% | 16.1% | 16.3% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Emma Tallman | 21.9% | 19.2% | 17.5% | 14.7% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Shay Bridge | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
Nilah Miller | 10.2% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
Emily Allen | 21.3% | 20.2% | 17.0% | 15.0% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Evelyn Hannah | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 8.5% | 1.6% |
Natalie Ryder | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 16.0% | 20.4% | 10.2% |
Arantxa Argibay | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 4.5% |
Tia Schoening | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 17.4% | 15.7% | 7.8% |
May Proctor | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 21.4% | 14.0% |
Rain Hong | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 14.3% | 60.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.