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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.70+2.85vs Predicted
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2Indiana University1.19+1.08vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.66-0.53vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-0.49+2.19vs Predicted
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5Marquette University0.32-0.57vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-0.49+0.16vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.36-2.49vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-0.64-1.61vs Predicted
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9Indiana University-1.80-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85University of Wisconsin0.7014.0%1st Place
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3.08Indiana University1.1921.9%1st Place
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2.47Northwestern University1.6633.2%1st Place
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6.19Purdue University-0.493.6%1st Place
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4.43Marquette University0.329.8%1st Place
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6.16Ohio State University-0.493.9%1st Place
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4.51University of Wisconsin0.369.2%1st Place
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6.39University of Michigan-0.643.0%1st Place
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7.93Indiana University-1.801.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mary Castellini | 14.0% | 14.2% | 17.3% | 17.1% | 16.0% | 11.4% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
Nithya Balachander | 21.9% | 21.3% | 19.7% | 16.4% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Delaney Smith | 33.2% | 25.6% | 17.7% | 13.5% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Nok In Chan | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 14.9% | 19.4% | 22.8% | 11.2% |
Brittany Shabino | 9.8% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 17.0% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 6.9% | 0.9% |
Molly Sheridan | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 15.7% | 19.8% | 22.4% | 10.4% |
Annabel Bridges | 9.2% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 16.4% | 11.8% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
Katherine Simcoe | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 18.8% | 24.2% | 14.0% |
Taylor Longhitano | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 14.1% | 61.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.