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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.70+2.92vs Predicted
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2Marquette University0.32+2.44vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.66-0.57vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-0.64+2.34vs Predicted
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5Indiana University1.19-1.90vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-0.49+0.14vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.36-2.50vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-0.49-1.84vs Predicted
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9Indiana University-1.80-1.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.92University of Wisconsin0.7014.2%1st Place
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4.44Marquette University0.3210.0%1st Place
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2.43Northwestern University1.6633.7%1st Place
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6.34University of Michigan-0.643.0%1st Place
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3.1Indiana University1.1921.6%1st Place
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6.14Purdue University-0.493.9%1st Place
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4.5University of Wisconsin0.369.2%1st Place
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6.16Ohio State University-0.493.2%1st Place
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7.97Indiana University-1.801.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mary Castellini | 14.2% | 13.5% | 16.8% | 16.2% | 16.0% | 12.0% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
Brittany Shabino | 10.0% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 11.2% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
Delaney Smith | 33.7% | 25.9% | 18.9% | 11.7% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Katherine Simcoe | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 18.6% | 23.7% | 14.0% |
Nithya Balachander | 21.6% | 22.4% | 18.6% | 15.5% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Nok In Chan | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 17.9% | 22.8% | 11.3% |
Annabel Bridges | 9.2% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 6.5% | 1.6% |
Molly Sheridan | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 19.8% | 21.6% | 11.1% |
Taylor Longhitano | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 9.6% | 15.6% | 60.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.