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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.66+1.37vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.70+1.91vs Predicted
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3Marquette University0.32+1.47vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-0.49+2.21vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-0.64+1.44vs Predicted
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6Indiana University1.19-2.91vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.36-2.48vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-0.49-1.96vs Predicted
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9Indiana University-1.80-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37Northwestern University1.6635.1%1st Place
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3.91University of Wisconsin0.7012.7%1st Place
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4.47Marquette University0.3210.0%1st Place
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6.21Purdue University-0.493.4%1st Place
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6.44University of Michigan-0.643.2%1st Place
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3.09Indiana University1.1921.2%1st Place
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4.52University of Wisconsin0.369.8%1st Place
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6.04Ohio State University-0.493.8%1st Place
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7.96Indiana University-1.800.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Delaney Smith | 35.1% | 27.6% | 16.4% | 11.6% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Mary Castellini | 12.7% | 15.0% | 17.4% | 16.8% | 15.2% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 0.3% |
Brittany Shabino | 10.0% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 16.3% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 6.2% | 1.4% |
Nok In Chan | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 15.7% | 20.2% | 22.9% | 10.3% |
Katherine Simcoe | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 18.1% | 25.7% | 14.8% |
Nithya Balachander | 21.2% | 21.6% | 19.9% | 16.5% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Annabel Bridges | 9.8% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 17.0% | 14.9% | 11.1% | 6.0% | 2.1% |
Molly Sheridan | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 18.9% | 19.0% | 11.2% |
Taylor Longhitano | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 15.8% | 59.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.