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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.66+1.37vs Predicted
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2Indiana University1.19+1.20vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.70+0.89vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.32+0.48vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-0.49+1.04vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-0.49+0.21vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-0.64-0.57vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin0.36-3.57vs Predicted
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9Indiana University-1.80-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37Northwestern University1.6635.6%1st Place
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3.2Indiana University1.1920.2%1st Place
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3.89University of Wisconsin0.7013.2%1st Place
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4.48Marquette University0.329.4%1st Place
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6.04Ohio State University-0.494.2%1st Place
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6.21Purdue University-0.493.2%1st Place
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6.43University of Michigan-0.643.1%1st Place
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4.43University of Wisconsin0.3610.2%1st Place
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7.95Indiana University-1.800.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Delaney Smith | 35.6% | 26.1% | 18.2% | 11.1% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Nithya Balachander | 20.2% | 20.9% | 19.7% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
Mary Castellini | 13.2% | 15.0% | 16.4% | 17.2% | 15.7% | 11.8% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
Brittany Shabino | 9.4% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 11.3% | 6.8% | 1.0% |
Molly Sheridan | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 16.0% | 18.6% | 19.9% | 11.1% |
Nok In Chan | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 15.6% | 19.6% | 21.6% | 11.5% |
Katherine Simcoe | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 18.9% | 24.2% | 16.0% |
Annabel Bridges | 10.2% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 1.4% |
Taylor Longhitano | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 16.4% | 58.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.