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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.70+2.89vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.66+0.43vs Predicted
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3Marquette University0.32+1.42vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.36+0.51vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.41+1.06vs Predicted
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6Indiana University1.19-2.81vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-0.64-0.58vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-0.49-1.96vs Predicted
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9Indiana University-1.80-0.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.89University of Wisconsin0.7013.2%1st Place
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2.43Northwestern University1.6634.0%1st Place
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4.42Marquette University0.3210.9%1st Place
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4.51University of Wisconsin0.3610.2%1st Place
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6.06Purdue University-0.413.9%1st Place
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3.19Indiana University1.1920.1%1st Place
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6.42University of Michigan-0.643.4%1st Place
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6.04Ohio State University-0.493.5%1st Place
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8.04Indiana University-1.800.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mary Castellini | 13.2% | 15.3% | 16.1% | 17.8% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
Delaney Smith | 34.0% | 26.0% | 18.6% | 11.1% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
Brittany Shabino | 10.9% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 15.3% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 5.4% | 1.4% |
Annabel Bridges | 10.2% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 16.8% | 17.1% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 0.8% |
Kailyn Merkle | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 20.9% | 20.2% | 10.0% |
Nithya Balachander | 20.1% | 21.1% | 19.7% | 15.6% | 12.0% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Katherine Simcoe | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 19.1% | 24.9% | 14.6% |
Molly Sheridan | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 19.4% | 21.8% | 9.8% |
Taylor Longhitano | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 16.7% | 62.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.