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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.85+1.11vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.37+2.32vs Predicted
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3Embry-Riddle University0.76+0.67vs Predicted
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4Florida State University-0.89+2.34vs Predicted
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5Rollins College-0.98+1.48vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida-0.37-0.50vs Predicted
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8University of Florida1.18-4.87vs Predicted
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9University of Miami0.24-4.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.11Eckerd College1.850.4%1st Place
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4.32Jacksonville University0.370.1%1st Place
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3.67Embry-Riddle University0.760.1%1st Place
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6.34Florida State University-0.890.0%1st Place
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6.48Rollins College-0.980.0%1st Place
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5.5University of South Florida-0.370.0%1st Place
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3.13University of Florida1.180.2%1st Place
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4.45University of Miami0.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradford Cederberg | 40.2% | 29.8% | 16.0% | 8.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Moore | 9.2% | 11.0% | 14.3% | 18.3% | 15.6% | 18.3% | 9.6% | 3.7% |
| Joel Hurley | 14.0% | 15.6% | 18.6% | 18.8% | 15.4% | 10.7% | 5.6% | 1.3% |
| Meghan Peltier | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 16.9% | 23.2% | 35.3% |
| Mitchell Wilkins | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 23.7% | 38.6% |
| Patricia Calvo Jaschke | 4.6% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 17.5% | 22.4% | 16.1% |
| Allison Gray | 20.1% | 20.9% | 22.2% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Kevin Schwarm | 7.6% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 18.6% | 18.7% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.