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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.66+1.11vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.70+1.29vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.36+0.73vs Predicted
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4Indiana University1.19-1.35vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-0.64+0.13vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-0.49-1.05vs Predicted
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7Indiana University-1.49-0.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.11Northwestern University1.6640.8%1st Place
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3.29University of Wisconsin0.7014.5%1st Place
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3.73University of Wisconsin0.3610.7%1st Place
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2.65Indiana University1.1924.3%1st Place
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5.13University of Michigan-0.644.0%1st Place
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4.95Ohio State University-0.494.5%1st Place
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6.14Indiana University-1.491.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaney Smith | 40.8% | 27.8% | 17.2% | 9.3% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Mary Castellini | 14.5% | 19.4% | 20.5% | 23.2% | 14.0% | 7.1% | 1.2% |
| Annabel Bridges | 10.7% | 14.1% | 18.1% | 22.2% | 21.1% | 11.2% | 2.7% |
| Nithya Balachander | 24.3% | 26.1% | 23.5% | 15.5% | 8.2% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 4.0% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 19.2% | 31.6% | 20.1% |
| Molly Sheridan | 4.5% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 23.6% | 28.2% | 16.3% |
| Delaynie Grove | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 9.9% | 18.9% | 59.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.