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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.66+1.10vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.70+1.24vs Predicted
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3Indiana University1.19-0.34vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.36-0.22vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-0.64+0.20vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-0.49-1.10vs Predicted
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7Indiana University-1.49-0.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1Northwestern University1.6639.2%1st Place
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3.24University of Wisconsin0.7014.3%1st Place
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2.66Indiana University1.1926.1%1st Place
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3.78University of Wisconsin0.3610.3%1st Place
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5.2University of Michigan-0.644.0%1st Place
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4.9Ohio State University-0.494.5%1st Place
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6.1Indiana University-1.491.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaney Smith | 39.2% | 28.4% | 19.4% | 9.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Mary Castellini | 14.3% | 20.2% | 21.9% | 22.5% | 14.1% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| Nithya Balachander | 26.1% | 25.2% | 21.3% | 15.7% | 8.2% | 3.3% | 0.2% |
| Annabel Bridges | 10.3% | 14.1% | 17.7% | 22.1% | 19.9% | 12.2% | 3.6% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 21.8% | 30.8% | 21.6% |
| Molly Sheridan | 4.5% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 14.7% | 21.8% | 27.1% | 16.6% |
| Delaynie Grove | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 11.2% | 20.3% | 56.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.