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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Geoff Abel 16.3% 13.4% 15.4% 14.6% 11.8% 10.3% 7.9% 5.6% 2.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.3%
Robert Berry 9.0% 11.5% 10.8% 11.3% 10.7% 12.4% 11.7% 9.1% 7.3% 3.5% 2.2% 0.5%
Casey Pruitt 15.0% 14.1% 14.6% 12.5% 11.4% 11.3% 9.7% 6.7% 2.4% 1.9% 0.2% 0.2%
Sam Parish 15.8% 16.9% 14.7% 13.8% 12.2% 8.5% 7.4% 5.5% 3.2% 1.4% 0.6% 0.0%
Reid Cannon 9.2% 8.7% 10.3% 10.1% 11.8% 11.6% 10.5% 9.5% 8.1% 5.7% 3.5% 1.0%
Nicki Le Baron 3.0% 2.9% 3.7% 5.5% 5.5% 5.4% 7.0% 10.8% 12.6% 15.4% 16.9% 11.3%
Peter McGrath 16.8% 15.7% 14.1% 12.4% 11.0% 11.8% 6.9% 5.7% 3.3% 1.2% 1.0% 0.1%
Neil Roberts 5.1% 5.6% 4.8% 6.9% 7.5% 7.8% 10.2% 12.2% 12.4% 12.4% 10.4% 4.7%
Ser Gin Ong 1.6% 1.8% 2.1% 3.0% 4.1% 4.1% 8.1% 8.7% 12.7% 15.7% 18.5% 19.6%
Brock Poesiat 3.2% 3.0% 4.2% 3.0% 5.1% 5.4% 8.2% 8.7% 13.3% 15.3% 16.7% 13.9%
Kristi VanGunst 1.3% 2.0% 0.8% 1.9% 2.2% 3.5% 3.7% 5.1% 9.1% 11.1% 17.4% 41.9%
Liam Quinlan 3.7% 4.4% 4.5% 5.0% 6.7% 7.9% 8.7% 12.4% 13.3% 14.8% 12.1% 6.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.