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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria2.29+3.14vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria1.79+3.23vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University2.20+1.29vs Predicted
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4University of Washington2.28+0.06vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria1.65+0.56vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria0.59+2.26vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University2.21-2.86vs Predicted
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8University of British Columbia0.97-0.82vs Predicted
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9University of British Columbia0.22+0.05vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria0.48-2.58vs Predicted
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12University of British Columbia-0.20-1.99vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria0.84-5.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.14University of Victoria2.290.2%1st Place
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5.23University of Victoria1.790.1%1st Place
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4.29Western Washington University2.200.1%1st Place
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4.06University of Washington2.280.2%1st Place
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5.56University of Victoria1.650.1%1st Place
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8.26University of Victoria0.590.0%1st Place
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4.14Western Washington University2.210.2%1st Place
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7.18University of British Columbia0.970.1%1st Place
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9.05University of British Columbia0.220.0%1st Place
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8.42University of Victoria0.480.0%1st Place
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10.01University of British Columbia-0.200.0%1st Place
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7.66University of Victoria0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geoff Abel | 16.3% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Robert Berry | 9.0% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Casey Pruitt | 15.0% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Sam Parish | 15.8% | 16.9% | 14.7% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Reid Cannon | 9.2% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Nicki Le Baron | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 15.4% | 16.9% | 11.3% |
| Peter McGrath | 16.8% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Neil Roberts | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 4.7% |
| Ser Gin Ong | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 15.7% | 18.5% | 19.6% |
| Brock Poesiat | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 13.3% | 15.3% | 16.7% | 13.9% |
| Kristi VanGunst | 1.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 17.4% | 41.9% |
| Liam Quinlan | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.