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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University2.21+3.30vs Predicted
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2University of Washington2.28+2.05vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria1.79+2.22vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria1.65+1.55vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria2.29-0.90vs Predicted
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6University of British Columbia0.22+3.08vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University2.20-2.78vs Predicted
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8University of British Columbia0.97-0.78vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria0.48-1.58vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria0.84-3.48vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria0.59-3.62vs Predicted
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13University of British Columbia-0.20-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.3Western Washington University2.210.1%1st Place
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4.05University of Washington2.280.2%1st Place
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5.22University of Victoria1.790.1%1st Place
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5.55University of Victoria1.650.1%1st Place
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4.1University of Victoria2.290.2%1st Place
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9.08University of British Columbia0.220.0%1st Place
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4.22Western Washington University2.200.2%1st Place
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7.22University of British Columbia0.970.0%1st Place
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8.42University of Victoria0.480.0%1st Place
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7.52University of Victoria0.840.0%1st Place
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8.38University of Victoria0.590.0%1st Place
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9.95University of British Columbia-0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter McGrath | 14.7% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 15.1% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Parish | 16.4% | 15.7% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Berry | 11.2% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Reid Cannon | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Geoff Abel | 16.6% | 16.4% | 14.9% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ser Gin Ong | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 20.9% | 22.1% |
| Casey Pruitt | 15.8% | 16.1% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Neil Roberts | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 8.9% | 5.7% |
| Brock Poesiat | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 16.1% | 16.2% | 11.2% |
| Liam Quinlan | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 6.8% |
| Nicki Le Baron | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 17.0% | 16.2% | 12.7% |
| Kristi VanGunst | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 18.6% | 40.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.