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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.66+1.11vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.70+1.23vs Predicted
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3Indiana University1.19-0.29vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.36-0.22vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-0.49-0.11vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-0.64-0.84vs Predicted
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7Indiana University-1.49-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.11Northwestern University1.6640.2%1st Place
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3.23University of Wisconsin0.7016.0%1st Place
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2.71Indiana University1.1923.8%1st Place
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3.78University of Wisconsin0.369.7%1st Place
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4.89Ohio State University-0.494.6%1st Place
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5.16University of Michigan-0.644.2%1st Place
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6.12Indiana University-1.491.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaney Smith | 40.2% | 28.5% | 17.5% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Mary Castellini | 16.0% | 18.4% | 22.8% | 21.6% | 13.0% | 7.2% | 1.1% |
| Nithya Balachander | 23.8% | 24.9% | 22.7% | 16.8% | 9.0% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Annabel Bridges | 9.7% | 14.0% | 17.6% | 23.8% | 20.5% | 11.2% | 3.3% |
| Molly Sheridan | 4.6% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 22.6% | 28.0% | 15.8% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 11.7% | 20.4% | 29.8% | 21.8% |
| Delaynie Grove | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 10.4% | 20.2% | 57.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.