← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Washington University2.20+3.32vs Predicted
-
2University of British Columbia0.97+5.32vs Predicted
-
3University of Washington2.28+1.06vs Predicted
-
4University of Victoria1.79+1.23vs Predicted
-
5Western Washington University2.21-0.76vs Predicted
-
6University of Victoria2.29-1.93vs Predicted
-
7University of Victoria1.65-1.50vs Predicted
-
8University of Victoria0.84-0.47vs Predicted
-
10University of Victoria0.59-1.83vs Predicted
-
11University of Victoria0.48-2.60vs Predicted
-
12University of British Columbia-0.20-1.99vs Predicted
-
13University of British Columbia0.22-3.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.32Western Washington University2.200.2%1st Place
-
7.32University of British Columbia0.970.0%1st Place
-
4.06University of Washington2.280.2%1st Place
-
5.23University of Victoria1.790.1%1st Place
-
4.24Western Washington University2.210.1%1st Place
-
4.07University of Victoria2.290.2%1st Place
-
5.5University of Victoria1.650.1%1st Place
-
7.53University of Victoria0.840.0%1st Place
-
8.17University of Victoria0.590.0%1st Place
-
8.4University of Victoria0.480.0%1st Place
-
10.01University of British Columbia-0.200.0%1st Place
-
9.15University of British Columbia0.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Pruitt | 15.2% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Neil Roberts | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 5.0% |
| Sam Parish | 17.3% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Robert Berry | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Peter McGrath | 14.7% | 17.6% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Geoff Abel | 17.1% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Reid Cannon | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% |
| Liam Quinlan | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 6.3% |
| Nicki Le Baron | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 10.6% |
| Brock Poesiat | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 15.4% | 16.6% | 13.5% |
| Kristi VanGunst | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 19.5% | 40.0% |
| Ser Gin Ong | 1.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 20.7% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.