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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.26+1.78vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.99+1.48vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.48+1.04vs Predicted
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4Rollins College-0.13+1.64vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University0.01+0.01vs Predicted
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6University of Florida-0.86+1.83vs Predicted
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7University of Miami-0.75-0.35vs Predicted
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8Clemson University0.12-3.93vs Predicted
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9Florida State University-2.55+0.52vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina-0.92-3.15vs Predicted
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11University of Central Florida-3.16-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.78College of Charleston1.2628.4%1st Place
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3.48University of South Florida0.9919.2%1st Place
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4.04Jacksonville University0.4814.4%1st Place
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5.64Rollins College-0.135.8%1st Place
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5.01North Carolina State University0.018.6%1st Place
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7.83University of Florida-0.862.1%1st Place
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6.65University of Miami-0.753.4%1st Place
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4.07Clemson University0.1214.0%1st Place
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9.52Florida State University-2.550.8%1st Place
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6.85University of North Carolina-0.923.1%1st Place
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10.13University of Central Florida-3.160.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Alfortish | 28.4% | 23.5% | 18.3% | 13.3% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kalea Woodard | 19.2% | 19.4% | 16.8% | 15.3% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 14.4% | 14.5% | 15.6% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scott | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 8.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Lyla Solway | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Ava Moring | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 26.4% | 18.8% | 6.0% |
| Daniella Woodbridge | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 19.5% | 15.9% | 7.4% | 1.6% |
| Ashton Loring | 14.0% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Figley | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 12.8% | 38.2% | 31.1% |
| Emma Gumny | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 15.8% | 17.8% | 19.4% | 9.3% | 1.1% |
| Ashley Flanagan | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 7.7% | 22.4% | 59.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.