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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.48+6.39vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.50+5.40vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.02+6.35vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+4.40vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.22+3.59vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.23+2.57vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.67-0.07vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95+1.53vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.92+0.69vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-2.39vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.79-4.58vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.86-2.10vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.50-5.58vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.73-3.68vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University3.39-7.01vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.74-5.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.39Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.4Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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9.35University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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8.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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8.59College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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8.57Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.93Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
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9.69Connecticut College2.920.0%1st Place
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7.61St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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6.42Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.9University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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7.42Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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10.32Bowdoin College2.730.0%1st Place
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7.99Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.47Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natalie Salk | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% |
| Emily Maxwell | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% |
| Krysta Rohde | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% |
| Corey Hall | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 4.3% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% |
| Emily Lambert | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Katii Gullick | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% |
| Lucy Wallace | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 11.7% |
| Mayumi Roller | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 13.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% |
| Charlotte Williamson | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 13.4% |
| Morgan Wilson | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.