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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University2.21+3.28vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria1.79+3.26vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria2.29+1.07vs Predicted
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4University of Washington2.28+0.06vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria1.65+0.58vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University2.20-1.73vs Predicted
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7University of British Columbia0.22+1.93vs Predicted
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9University of British Columbia0.97-1.83vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria0.84-2.46vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria0.48-2.56vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria0.59-3.57vs Predicted
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13University of British Columbia-0.20-3.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.28Western Washington University2.210.1%1st Place
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5.26University of Victoria1.790.1%1st Place
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4.07University of Victoria2.290.2%1st Place
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4.06University of Washington2.280.2%1st Place
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5.58University of Victoria1.650.1%1st Place
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4.27Western Washington University2.200.2%1st Place
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8.93University of British Columbia0.220.0%1st Place
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7.17University of British Columbia0.970.1%1st Place
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7.54University of Victoria0.840.0%1st Place
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8.44University of Victoria0.480.0%1st Place
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8.43University of Victoria0.590.0%1st Place
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9.97University of British Columbia-0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter McGrath | 14.9% | 15.4% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Robert Berry | 8.9% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Geoff Abel | 17.0% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sam Parish | 15.5% | 17.6% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Reid Cannon | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Casey Pruitt | 16.4% | 13.0% | 15.5% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ser Gin Ong | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 19.4% | 20.5% |
| Neil Roberts | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 7.6% | 5.2% |
| Liam Quinlan | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 6.3% |
| Brock Poesiat | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 18.1% | 13.9% |
| Nicki Le Baron | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 16.6% | 15.2% | 13.7% |
| Kristi VanGunst | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 13.0% | 20.5% | 38.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.