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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.43+2.21vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.310.00vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.12+0.84vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin-0.03-0.06vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.56-0.28vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.90-0.92vs Predicted
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7Indiana University-1.93-0.26vs Predicted
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8Indiana University-1.71-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21University of Wisconsin0.4317.4%1st Place
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2.0University of Wisconsin1.3144.2%1st Place
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3.84Marquette University-0.1211.2%1st Place
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3.94University of Wisconsin-0.0311.5%1st Place
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4.72Purdue University-0.566.0%1st Place
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5.08Northwestern University-0.906.0%1st Place
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6.74Indiana University-1.931.6%1st Place
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6.47Indiana University-1.712.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Claire Considine | 17.4% | 22.4% | 19.9% | 17.4% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
Nicole Giuliani | 44.2% | 27.6% | 17.1% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Jenna Kozal | 11.2% | 15.3% | 17.7% | 18.9% | 16.9% | 12.8% | 6.1% | 1.2% |
Sydney Mandell | 11.5% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 18.1% | 17.2% | 14.9% | 6.3% | 1.8% |
Camille Imbler | 6.0% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 15.8% | 20.0% | 17.5% | 14.6% | 5.2% |
Jenna Spray | 6.0% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 16.3% | 21.9% | 18.1% | 9.0% |
Sammy Stoeber | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 23.6% | 46.6% |
Julia Grumbling | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 13.0% | 28.5% | 35.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.