Race 5A

west-canada-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Peter McGrath 14.8% 13.0% 13.9% 15.0% 12.2% 11.8% 7.7% 5.5% 3.1% 2.0% 0.9% 0.1%
Robert Berry 8.9% 11.4% 10.7% 10.5% 12.6% 12.0% 10.3% 11.5% 5.6% 4.1% 1.9% 0.5%
Casey Pruitt 16.3% 12.7% 15.3% 11.0% 12.0% 12.1% 9.3% 6.0% 3.6% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
Geoff Abel 15.5% 17.4% 14.8% 14.2% 11.8% 9.4% 6.6% 4.9% 3.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Ser Gin Ong 1.5% 2.6% 2.9% 3.4% 3.9% 3.6% 7.9% 8.1% 10.0% 14.2% 20.0% 21.9%
Neil Roberts 4.5% 4.2% 6.2% 7.3% 5.6% 8.3% 9.9% 10.6% 14.8% 14.2% 10.3% 4.1%
Sam Parish 17.4% 17.2% 14.3% 11.9% 11.9% 10.3% 7.1% 4.8% 3.0% 1.6% 0.3% 0.2%
Reid Cannon 10.7% 9.8% 9.7% 9.3% 10.7% 10.6% 10.0% 10.4% 9.4% 5.5% 2.7% 1.2%
Liam Quinlan 3.1% 3.4% 3.7% 8.1% 7.3% 7.7% 10.2% 13.5% 13.6% 11.9% 11.1% 6.4%
Brock Poesiat 3.0% 2.7% 4.3% 3.3% 5.0% 5.4% 6.6% 10.6% 14.1% 14.7% 15.8% 14.5%
Kristi VanGunst 1.4% 1.8% 1.0% 1.9% 2.2% 2.7% 4.4% 5.2% 7.8% 11.4% 20.5% 39.7%
Nicki Le Baron 2.9% 3.8% 3.2% 4.1% 4.8% 6.1% 10.0% 8.9% 11.9% 17.5% 15.6% 11.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.