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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria1.79+4.36vs Predicted
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2University of Washington2.28+2.10vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University2.21+1.26vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria2.29+0.08vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia0.22+4.07vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria1.65-0.37vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria0.84+0.52vs Predicted
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8University of British Columbia0.97-0.81vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University2.20-5.89vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria0.48-2.59vs Predicted
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12University of British Columbia-0.20-2.02vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria0.59-4.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.36University of Victoria1.790.1%1st Place
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4.1University of Washington2.280.2%1st Place
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4.26Western Washington University2.210.2%1st Place
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4.08University of Victoria2.290.2%1st Place
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9.07University of British Columbia0.220.0%1st Place
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5.63University of Victoria1.650.1%1st Place
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7.52University of Victoria0.840.0%1st Place
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7.19University of British Columbia0.970.1%1st Place
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4.11Western Washington University2.200.1%1st Place
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8.41University of Victoria0.480.0%1st Place
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9.98University of British Columbia-0.200.0%1st Place
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8.29University of Victoria0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Berry | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Sam Parish | 15.5% | 16.6% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter McGrath | 16.3% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Geoff Abel | 15.6% | 16.2% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ser Gin Ong | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 14.7% | 19.8% | 22.3% |
| Reid Cannon | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Liam Quinlan | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 7.4% |
| Neil Roberts | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 4.6% |
| Casey Pruitt | 13.8% | 15.3% | 17.9% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brock Poesiat | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 16.7% | 14.2% |
| Kristi VanGunst | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 18.2% | 39.7% |
| Nicki Le Baron | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 18.3% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.