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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University2.21+3.27vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria2.29+2.03vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University2.20+1.24vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria1.65+1.60vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria1.79+0.27vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria0.84+1.66vs Predicted
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7University of Washington2.28-2.99vs Predicted
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9University of British Columbia0.220.00vs Predicted
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10University of British Columbia0.97-2.80vs Predicted
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11University of British Columbia-0.20-1.16vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria0.59-3.64vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria0.48-4.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.27Western Washington University2.210.2%1st Place
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4.03University of Victoria2.290.2%1st Place
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4.24Western Washington University2.200.2%1st Place
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5.6University of Victoria1.650.1%1st Place
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5.27University of Victoria1.790.1%1st Place
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7.66University of Victoria0.840.0%1st Place
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4.01University of Washington2.280.2%1st Place
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9.0University of British Columbia0.220.0%1st Place
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7.2University of British Columbia0.970.0%1st Place
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9.84University of British Columbia-0.200.0%1st Place
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8.36University of Victoria0.590.0%1st Place
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8.52University of Victoria0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter McGrath | 15.6% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Geoff Abel | 17.4% | 15.9% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Casey Pruitt | 16.0% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Reid Cannon | 6.9% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Robert Berry | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Liam Quinlan | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 7.4% |
| Sam Parish | 17.9% | 16.5% | 15.2% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Ser Gin Ong | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 14.7% | 20.9% | 20.5% |
| Neil Roberts | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 4.2% |
| Kristi VanGunst | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 18.0% | 39.6% |
| Nicki Le Baron | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 16.5% | 15.2% | 11.9% |
| Brock Poesiat | 2.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 16.5% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.