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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Peter McGrath 15.0% 14.2% 12.7% 14.2% 13.3% 10.7% 8.5% 5.3% 3.5% 1.8% 0.8% 0.0%
Robert Berry 9.1% 11.2% 10.6% 11.2% 12.4% 10.1% 11.5% 11.0% 6.5% 3.3% 2.7% 0.4%
Sam Parish 16.9% 14.6% 14.8% 13.7% 10.8% 11.9% 7.6% 5.5% 2.5% 1.4% 0.2% 0.1%
Casey Pruitt 14.9% 15.4% 15.0% 12.0% 12.4% 10.3% 8.0% 6.0% 3.1% 1.9% 0.7% 0.3%
Geoff Abel 17.0% 16.2% 14.9% 12.5% 11.1% 10.7% 6.6% 5.0% 3.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.0%
Neil Roberts 4.0% 5.3% 6.0% 6.7% 5.6% 7.5% 10.6% 12.7% 13.2% 14.3% 9.5% 4.6%
Reid Cannon 9.3% 8.8% 10.7% 10.7% 10.9% 10.6% 11.4% 9.7% 9.7% 4.4% 2.3% 1.5%
Liam Quinlan 5.0% 3.8% 4.7% 6.6% 7.3% 6.7% 10.1% 10.3% 13.3% 13.8% 12.1% 6.3%
Nicki Le Baron 2.4% 3.2% 2.8% 4.7% 5.7% 8.0% 9.1% 10.2% 14.2% 14.6% 14.6% 10.5%
Brock Poesiat 3.1% 3.3% 3.5% 3.3% 5.1% 6.1% 7.7% 9.4% 12.7% 14.9% 17.2% 13.7%
Ser Gin Ong 2.1% 2.1% 1.9% 2.9% 3.8% 4.8% 4.5% 9.3% 9.8% 15.0% 21.3% 22.5%
Kristi VanGunst 1.2% 1.9% 2.4% 1.5% 1.6% 2.6% 4.4% 5.6% 7.6% 13.2% 17.9% 40.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.