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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University2.21+3.29vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria1.79+3.25vs Predicted
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3University of Washington2.28+1.08vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University2.20+0.25vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria2.29-0.93vs Predicted
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6University of British Columbia0.97+1.30vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria1.65-1.48vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria0.84-1.51vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria0.59-1.82vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria0.48-2.58vs Predicted
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12University of British Columbia0.22-2.80vs Predicted
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13University of British Columbia-0.20-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.29Western Washington University2.210.1%1st Place
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5.25University of Victoria1.790.1%1st Place
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4.08University of Washington2.280.2%1st Place
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4.25Western Washington University2.200.1%1st Place
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4.07University of Victoria2.290.2%1st Place
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7.3University of British Columbia0.970.0%1st Place
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5.52University of Victoria1.650.1%1st Place
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7.49University of Victoria0.840.1%1st Place
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8.18University of Victoria0.590.0%1st Place
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8.42University of Victoria0.480.0%1st Place
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9.2University of British Columbia0.220.0%1st Place
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9.96University of British Columbia-0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter McGrath | 15.0% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Robert Berry | 9.1% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Sam Parish | 16.9% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Casey Pruitt | 14.9% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Geoff Abel | 17.0% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Neil Roberts | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 9.5% | 4.6% |
| Reid Cannon | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Liam Quinlan | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 6.3% |
| Nicki Le Baron | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 10.5% |
| Brock Poesiat | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 17.2% | 13.7% |
| Ser Gin Ong | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 21.3% | 22.5% |
| Kristi VanGunst | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 13.2% | 17.9% | 40.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.