← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Victoria2.29+3.11vs Predicted
-
2Western Washington University2.21+2.20vs Predicted
-
3University of Victoria1.65+2.54vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University2.20+0.29vs Predicted
-
5University of Washington2.28-0.89vs Predicted
-
6University of Victoria1.79-0.74vs Predicted
-
8University of Victoria0.84-0.50vs Predicted
-
9University of Victoria0.59-0.85vs Predicted
-
10University of British Columbia0.97-2.79vs Predicted
-
11University of British Columbia0.22-1.99vs Predicted
-
12University of Victoria0.48-3.37vs Predicted
-
13University of British Columbia-0.20-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.11University of Victoria2.290.2%1st Place
-
4.2Western Washington University2.210.1%1st Place
-
5.54University of Victoria1.650.1%1st Place
-
4.29Western Washington University2.200.1%1st Place
-
4.11University of Washington2.280.2%1st Place
-
5.26University of Victoria1.790.1%1st Place
-
7.5University of Victoria0.840.0%1st Place
-
8.15University of Victoria0.590.0%1st Place
-
7.21University of British Columbia0.970.0%1st Place
-
9.01University of British Columbia0.220.0%1st Place
-
8.63University of Victoria0.480.0%1st Place
-
10.0University of British Columbia-0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geoff Abel | 15.5% | 15.1% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter McGrath | 14.7% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Reid Cannon | 10.3% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Casey Pruitt | 14.4% | 15.7% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Sam Parish | 16.8% | 16.0% | 15.9% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Robert Berry | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Liam Quinlan | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 7.1% |
| Nicki Le Baron | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 15.8% | 16.5% | 10.3% |
| Neil Roberts | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 4.2% |
| Ser Gin Ong | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 20.9% | 21.4% |
| Brock Poesiat | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 16.4% | 16.0% |
| Kristi VanGunst | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 8.9% | 14.2% | 18.8% | 39.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.