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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.31+0.64vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.43+0.47vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin-0.03+0.03vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.90-0.12vs Predicted
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5Indiana University-1.71-0.08vs Predicted
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6Indiana University-1.93-0.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.64University of Wisconsin1.3155.3%1st Place
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2.47University of Wisconsin0.4322.1%1st Place
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3.03University of Wisconsin-0.0313.7%1st Place
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3.88Northwestern University-0.905.7%1st Place
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4.92Indiana University-1.711.7%1st Place
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5.07Indiana University-1.931.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Giuliani | 55.3% | 29.9% | 11.2% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Claire Considine | 22.1% | 32.4% | 27.4% | 13.5% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Sydney Mandell | 13.7% | 20.1% | 30.7% | 22.7% | 10.8% | 2.1% |
| Jenna Spray | 5.7% | 10.7% | 16.9% | 33.0% | 24.1% | 9.7% |
| Julia Grumbling | 1.7% | 3.7% | 8.4% | 13.6% | 32.8% | 39.8% |
| Sammy Stoeber | 1.6% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 14.1% | 27.8% | 47.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.