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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University2.21+3.29vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University2.20+2.22vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria1.65+2.59vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria1.79+1.23vs Predicted
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5University of Washington2.28-0.90vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria0.59+2.25vs Predicted
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7University of British Columbia0.97+0.16vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria2.29-4.02vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria0.48-0.54vs Predicted
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10University of British Columbia-0.20-0.17vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria0.84-3.23vs Predicted
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12University of British Columbia0.22-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.29Western Washington University2.210.1%1st Place
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4.22Western Washington University2.200.1%1st Place
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5.59University of Victoria1.650.1%1st Place
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5.23University of Victoria1.790.1%1st Place
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4.1University of Washington2.280.2%1st Place
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8.25University of Victoria0.590.0%1st Place
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7.16University of British Columbia0.970.0%1st Place
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3.98University of Victoria2.290.2%1st Place
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8.46University of Victoria0.480.0%1st Place
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9.83University of British Columbia-0.200.0%1st Place
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7.77University of Victoria0.840.0%1st Place
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9.12University of British Columbia0.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter McGrath | 14.7% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Casey Pruitt | 14.8% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Reid Cannon | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Robert Berry | 8.9% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Sam Parish | 16.4% | 16.9% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Nicki Le Baron | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 16.2% | 15.5% | 11.8% |
| Neil Roberts | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 5.0% |
| Geoff Abel | 18.9% | 16.2% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Brock Poesiat | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 15.7% | 17.0% | 11.8% |
| Kristi VanGunst | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 18.7% | 38.4% |
| Liam Quinlan | 4.3% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 9.5% |
| Ser Gin Ong | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 20.1% | 22.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.