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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University2.20+3.30vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University2.21+2.22vs Predicted
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3University of Washington2.28+1.00vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria1.65+1.57vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria2.29-0.90vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria1.79-0.74vs Predicted
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7University of British Columbia0.97+0.17vs Predicted
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8University of British Columbia-0.20+1.83vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria0.59-0.82vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria0.84-2.41vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria0.48-2.35vs Predicted
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12University of British Columbia0.22-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.3Western Washington University2.200.2%1st Place
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4.22Western Washington University2.210.2%1st Place
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4.0University of Washington2.280.2%1st Place
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5.57University of Victoria1.650.1%1st Place
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4.1University of Victoria2.290.2%1st Place
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5.26University of Victoria1.790.1%1st Place
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7.17University of British Columbia0.970.0%1st Place
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9.83University of British Columbia-0.200.0%1st Place
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8.18University of Victoria0.590.0%1st Place
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7.59University of Victoria0.840.0%1st Place
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8.65University of Victoria0.480.0%1st Place
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9.13University of British Columbia0.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Pruitt | 15.4% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Peter McGrath | 15.4% | 15.9% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sam Parish | 17.1% | 15.3% | 16.9% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Reid Cannon | 7.4% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Geoff Abel | 15.9% | 16.9% | 15.9% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Robert Berry | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Neil Roberts | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 5.4% |
| Kristi VanGunst | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 17.1% | 40.0% |
| Nicki Le Baron | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 10.1% |
| Liam Quinlan | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 7.4% |
| Brock Poesiat | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 16.7% | 19.0% | 14.5% |
| Ser Gin Ong | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 21.5% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.