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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin-0.03+2.00vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.31-0.35vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.43-0.45vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.90-0.09vs Predicted
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5Indiana University-1.71-0.18vs Predicted
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6Indiana University-1.93-0.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0University of Wisconsin-0.0313.5%1st Place
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1.65University of Wisconsin1.3155.4%1st Place
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2.55University of Wisconsin0.4320.2%1st Place
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3.91Northwestern University-0.906.3%1st Place
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4.82Indiana University-1.712.8%1st Place
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5.07Indiana University-1.931.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Mandell | 13.5% | 22.2% | 29.0% | 22.8% | 10.4% | 2.1% |
| Nicole Giuliani | 55.4% | 28.6% | 12.2% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Claire Considine | 20.2% | 30.8% | 28.5% | 15.7% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Jenna Spray | 6.3% | 9.4% | 18.1% | 30.6% | 24.4% | 11.1% |
| Julia Grumbling | 2.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 15.6% | 32.5% | 37.5% |
| Sammy Stoeber | 1.8% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 11.9% | 28.3% | 48.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.