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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Casey Pruitt 15.4% 13.0% 13.7% 14.3% 13.4% 10.5% 8.3% 4.9% 2.9% 2.8% 0.6% 0.2%
Peter McGrath 15.4% 15.9% 12.6% 14.5% 11.5% 9.2% 9.9% 4.7% 3.9% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Sam Parish 17.1% 15.3% 16.9% 11.3% 11.7% 10.4% 8.7% 4.7% 2.5% 1.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Reid Cannon 7.4% 10.0% 9.5% 12.0% 12.0% 11.2% 9.5% 10.0% 9.1% 6.0% 2.1% 1.2%
Geoff Abel 15.9% 16.9% 15.9% 11.7% 11.2% 9.8% 7.2% 5.5% 3.2% 1.8% 0.9% 0.0%
Robert Berry 10.8% 9.4% 9.3% 11.9% 12.1% 12.4% 10.5% 10.6% 5.1% 5.6% 2.0% 0.3%
Neil Roberts 4.9% 4.8% 6.3% 7.0% 6.3% 9.2% 9.6% 13.1% 12.1% 11.0% 10.3% 5.4%
Kristi VanGunst 1.1% 1.7% 2.3% 2.4% 3.3% 2.9% 3.6% 6.0% 8.9% 10.7% 17.1% 40.0%
Nicki Le Baron 3.0% 2.6% 3.9% 3.5% 5.2% 7.4% 10.1% 10.8% 13.1% 15.7% 14.6% 10.1%
Liam Quinlan 4.6% 4.7% 4.5% 4.8% 6.6% 7.2% 9.6% 11.0% 15.6% 12.6% 11.4% 7.4%
Brock Poesiat 2.7% 2.5% 2.3% 4.3% 4.3% 6.2% 6.4% 10.6% 10.5% 16.7% 19.0% 14.5%
Ser Gin Ong 1.7% 3.2% 2.8% 2.3% 2.4% 3.6% 6.6% 8.1% 13.1% 13.9% 21.5% 20.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.