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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria1.87+2.13vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria1.61+1.57vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.07+4.09vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria0.14+2.63vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia0.38+1.13vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.87-2.90vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria0.72-1.72vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.90-3.12vs Predicted
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9University of British Columbia-1.48+0.93vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria-1.19-1.61vs Predicted
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12University of British Columbia-1.21-2.44vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria-1.10-3.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.13University of Victoria1.870.2%1st Place
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3.57University of Victoria1.610.2%1st Place
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7.09University of Washington-0.070.0%1st Place
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6.63University of Victoria0.140.0%1st Place
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6.13University of British Columbia0.380.1%1st Place
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3.1Western Washington University1.870.2%1st Place
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5.28University of Victoria0.720.1%1st Place
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4.88Western Washington University0.900.1%1st Place
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9.93University of British Columbia-1.480.0%1st Place
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9.39University of Victoria-1.190.0%1st Place
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9.56University of British Columbia-1.210.0%1st Place
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9.33University of Victoria-1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Berry | 23.2% | 19.5% | 20.9% | 14.4% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ross Jespersen | 17.0% | 20.4% | 16.4% | 15.4% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tate Higgins | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 16.4% | 15.1% | 11.8% | 6.5% | 1.5% |
| Jasmin Chana | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Alex Dodd | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Paul Foley | 23.5% | 21.4% | 18.7% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Manuel Gomez | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 15.5% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Jake Fetterman | 10.6% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Fraser MacSporran | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 16.4% | 22.7% | 29.7% |
| Carleen Kukat | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 13.6% | 16.9% | 21.7% | 20.7% |
| Ivan Lobachev | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 13.4% | 17.3% | 19.7% | 24.7% |
| Noah Havelaar | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 18.2% | 19.4% | 20.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.