Race 1A

luce

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Stewart Gurnell 12.5% 12.9% 12.9% 11.2% 10.2% 10.3% 8.9% 8.6% 5.0% 4.2% 2.5% 0.8% 0.1%
Brian Fox 12.2% 11.1% 11.0% 10.7% 9.9% 9.5% 10.4% 8.8% 6.9% 5.3% 3.0% 1.0% 0.1%
Connor Mraz 13.5% 11.8% 11.9% 11.8% 10.2% 9.0% 8.7% 8.1% 6.7% 4.8% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1%
Cameron Turner 10.5% 11.2% 10.9% 11.5% 9.6% 10.5% 9.4% 7.8% 7.8% 5.9% 3.1% 1.5% 0.2%
Alexa Whitman 4.4% 5.4% 4.9% 5.0% 6.7% 7.4% 8.0% 7.9% 9.7% 14.4% 13.7% 9.8% 2.8%
Aidan Young 8.3% 8.8% 7.7% 8.0% 9.7% 10.3% 9.0% 9.8% 11.3% 7.8% 5.9% 2.9% 0.5%
Valerio Palamara 14.4% 13.1% 12.8% 10.8% 12.3% 9.6% 8.7% 7.4% 5.3% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Ethan Stone 6.4% 6.6% 5.7% 8.2% 8.5% 7.3% 8.6% 9.8% 10.1% 11.4% 11.2% 5.0% 1.4%
Iain Shand 6.2% 5.1% 6.5% 6.9% 7.9% 8.6% 9.2% 9.6% 11.8% 10.8% 10.0% 6.5% 1.0%
kai rauch 7.8% 9.2% 10.2% 10.4% 9.0% 10.6% 9.7% 9.3% 9.0% 7.0% 5.2% 2.1% 0.3%
Luke Plecinoga 1.4% 1.8% 2.1% 2.0% 1.9% 2.2% 3.1% 4.2% 5.5% 9.3% 14.8% 31.2% 20.3%
Damian Bianchi 0.7% 0.4% 1.0% 0.9% 0.8% 1.1% 0.9% 2.1% 2.4% 4.5% 6.7% 15.4% 63.0%
David Berson 1.8% 2.6% 2.5% 2.8% 3.4% 3.5% 5.5% 6.5% 8.3% 10.8% 19.8% 22.6% 10.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.