Race 2B

saisa-women-fleet-racing-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Kalea Woodard 18.9% 17.4% 18.3% 15.0% 12.2% 9.3% 5.3% 2.6% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Kaitlyn Liebel 13.5% 14.6% 15.8% 16.1% 13.5% 11.2% 8.0% 5.2% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1%
Julia Scott 6.2% 7.8% 7.6% 10.2% 12.2% 14.3% 15.9% 13.2% 9.7% 2.8% 0.2%
Ashton Loring 13.2% 15.1% 14.3% 14.6% 15.0% 13.1% 8.1% 4.3% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Lyla Solway 8.6% 8.8% 11.1% 11.8% 15.2% 13.2% 14.2% 9.6% 5.8% 1.7% 0.1%
Emily Alfortish 28.8% 24.4% 18.4% 13.5% 7.1% 5.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Daniella Woodbridge 4.0% 3.5% 5.9% 7.0% 9.2% 11.1% 16.0% 18.1% 16.8% 7.3% 1.1%
Emma Gumny 4.0% 4.6% 3.9% 6.0% 8.4% 12.0% 14.0% 19.7% 17.1% 8.4% 2.0%
Ava Moring 1.7% 2.5% 3.5% 4.2% 4.8% 6.5% 10.9% 15.8% 26.7% 17.9% 5.6%
Olivia Figley 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 1.0% 1.6% 2.3% 3.6% 6.4% 12.8% 40.2% 30.2%
Ashley Flanagan 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.9% 1.5% 2.2% 4.8% 6.9% 21.1% 60.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.