Race 5A

women-emily-wick-sloop-shrew

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Claire Dennis 7.8% 8.6% 8.7% 7.8% 6.5% 7.3% 6.8% 6.7% 7.0% 6.7% 5.9% 4.8% 4.4% 5.0% 3.2% 2.8%
Emily Lambert 9.5% 9.3% 8.9% 10.3% 7.1% 6.8% 6.6% 7.3% 5.9% 6.0% 6.4% 4.5% 4.1% 3.4% 2.6% 1.3%
Krysta Rohde 6.2% 6.5% 5.9% 6.3% 5.9% 6.4% 7.9% 5.8% 7.2% 6.6% 8.7% 6.0% 6.8% 5.1% 4.6% 4.1%
Elizabeth Glivinski 3.0% 3.8% 4.2% 4.6% 3.0% 5.6% 4.5% 4.9% 4.4% 4.5% 4.9% 9.2% 6.7% 8.6% 12.2% 15.9%
Emily Maxwell 7.2% 8.0% 6.2% 7.2% 9.6% 6.9% 6.5% 6.4% 8.0% 5.0% 6.5% 6.3% 5.4% 5.5% 3.2% 2.1%
Natalie Salk 6.4% 7.6% 8.6% 6.9% 8.5% 6.1% 6.9% 7.2% 6.3% 6.3% 5.5% 6.3% 5.3% 5.3% 3.5% 3.3%
Corey Hall 6.3% 6.1% 6.4% 5.5% 4.9% 7.0% 5.7% 6.6% 6.7% 5.7% 5.9% 6.5% 8.4% 6.9% 6.0% 5.4%
Alexandra Arntsen 4.1% 5.2% 3.8% 4.5% 5.5% 4.3% 5.9% 4.2% 5.5% 7.4% 6.0% 6.6% 7.3% 9.0% 9.4% 11.3%
Chandler Salisbury 6.1% 5.8% 6.2% 6.2% 6.0% 7.4% 6.8% 7.0% 6.2% 6.6% 6.5% 5.5% 6.2% 5.6% 6.0% 5.9%
Katii Gullick 4.7% 4.7% 3.5% 4.2% 5.1% 4.4% 5.6% 5.2% 5.9% 6.6% 7.9% 7.3% 9.1% 8.8% 8.6% 8.4%
Charlotte Williamson 4.6% 3.7% 2.8% 4.8% 4.1% 4.6% 3.8% 4.9% 4.7% 6.9% 5.3% 6.6% 7.6% 8.3% 12.1% 15.2%
Elizabeth Barry 11.2% 9.5% 10.4% 8.0% 9.2% 5.8% 6.2% 9.0% 5.4% 5.9% 5.6% 4.5% 2.8% 3.3% 1.8% 1.4%
Morgan Wilson 6.2% 6.2% 7.8% 7.5% 6.9% 7.9% 5.9% 7.8% 6.9% 6.9% 5.9% 6.3% 4.8% 5.2% 4.7% 3.1%
Chanel Miller 5.4% 4.0% 4.6% 5.4% 5.7% 6.1% 7.5% 4.6% 6.5% 7.5% 5.8% 6.2% 7.4% 7.3% 8.3% 7.7%
Mayumi Roller 7.9% 6.6% 7.2% 6.0% 7.5% 7.8% 7.9% 6.6% 7.6% 5.5% 6.6% 6.7% 5.3% 4.9% 3.5% 2.4%
Lucy Wallace 3.4% 4.4% 4.8% 4.8% 4.5% 5.6% 5.5% 5.8% 5.8% 5.9% 6.6% 6.7% 8.4% 7.8% 10.3% 9.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.