Race 2A

luce

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Valerio Palamara 14.5% 14.1% 11.8% 11.9% 11.5% 10.8% 7.1% 6.7% 5.1% 3.9% 1.9% 0.7% 0.1%
Cameron Turner 10.8% 10.4% 10.8% 10.5% 10.3% 9.8% 9.3% 7.8% 8.8% 6.6% 3.5% 1.1% 0.2%
kai rauch 8.5% 8.2% 8.3% 9.8% 10.3% 9.7% 9.2% 10.2% 9.7% 8.5% 5.1% 2.2% 0.2%
Connor Mraz 13.2% 11.6% 11.4% 11.8% 10.3% 10.3% 9.9% 7.8% 6.8% 3.8% 2.0% 1.0% 0.1%
Stewart Gurnell 12.5% 12.4% 14.2% 11.2% 10.7% 9.3% 9.5% 7.4% 5.8% 4.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Brian Fox 11.1% 10.4% 9.6% 10.5% 10.5% 11.0% 11.1% 8.7% 6.9% 6.0% 2.9% 1.4% 0.1%
Aidan Young 7.3% 9.4% 9.0% 8.6% 9.2% 8.2% 10.8% 9.2% 9.2% 9.3% 6.2% 2.5% 0.6%
Alexa Whitman 5.0% 5.3% 5.1% 5.7% 5.9% 6.4% 7.6% 9.7% 10.4% 12.8% 14.8% 9.3% 2.1%
Ethan Stone 7.0% 6.5% 7.3% 5.9% 7.5% 9.1% 8.6% 9.7% 10.8% 11.1% 10.7% 4.9% 1.1%
Iain Shand 5.9% 5.8% 7.2% 7.4% 7.1% 8.1% 7.6% 11.3% 10.8% 11.9% 9.9% 5.5% 1.5%
David Berson 2.2% 3.0% 2.9% 2.5% 3.6% 3.9% 4.3% 6.0% 7.8% 10.8% 18.1% 24.6% 10.3%
Luke Plecinoga 1.6% 2.1% 1.4% 2.9% 2.2% 2.6% 3.0% 3.8% 5.5% 7.9% 14.8% 29.8% 22.2%
Damian Bianchi 0.5% 0.7% 0.9% 1.0% 0.9% 0.9% 1.9% 1.5% 2.5% 3.5% 8.1% 16.4% 61.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.