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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.90+4.02vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria1.87+1.06vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria0.14+3.62vs Predicted
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4University of British Columbia0.38+2.12vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria0.72+0.36vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria1.61-2.46vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University1.87-3.96vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.07-0.98vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria-1.10-0.74vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria-1.19-1.59vs Predicted
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12University of British Columbia-1.48-1.96vs Predicted
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13University of British Columbia-1.21-3.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.02Western Washington University0.900.1%1st Place
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3.06University of Victoria1.870.2%1st Place
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6.62University of Victoria0.140.0%1st Place
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6.12University of British Columbia0.380.0%1st Place
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5.36University of Victoria0.720.1%1st Place
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3.54University of Victoria1.610.2%1st Place
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3.04Western Washington University1.870.3%1st Place
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7.02University of Washington-0.070.0%1st Place
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9.26University of Victoria-1.100.0%1st Place
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9.41University of Victoria-1.190.0%1st Place
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10.04University of British Columbia-1.480.0%1st Place
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9.52University of British Columbia-1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Fetterman | 8.6% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| David Berry | 24.3% | 21.6% | 18.8% | 14.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasmin Chana | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Alex Dodd | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Manuel Gomez | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Ross Jespersen | 18.3% | 18.5% | 16.3% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Foley | 26.1% | 20.6% | 18.6% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tate Higgins | 2.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 14.7% | 14.5% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 2.4% |
| Noah Havelaar | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 15.3% | 16.9% | 20.8% | 17.5% |
| Carleen Kukat | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 18.7% | 21.4% | 20.6% |
| Fraser MacSporran | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 16.9% | 21.8% | 33.7% |
| Ivan Lobachev | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 13.8% | 17.0% | 19.9% | 24.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.