Race 3A

luce

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Connor Mraz 11.8% 13.4% 11.3% 11.8% 10.1% 9.8% 9.1% 9.1% 6.6% 4.9% 1.8% 0.4%
kai rauch 8.7% 10.5% 9.2% 9.8% 9.5% 10.7% 8.8% 10.2% 9.7% 8.0% 4.2% 0.5%
Brian Fox 9.9% 10.8% 10.4% 11.2% 11.4% 12.2% 9.8% 9.6% 6.1% 5.4% 2.8% 0.4%
Stewart Gurnell 14.3% 12.8% 13.4% 11.6% 11.9% 9.9% 8.7% 7.0% 5.0% 3.8% 1.8% 0.0%
Aidan Young 9.1% 7.8% 9.2% 8.0% 10.0% 9.4% 11.1% 9.0% 10.7% 9.2% 5.5% 1.0%
Iain Shand 6.3% 5.9% 7.3% 7.6% 8.1% 8.3% 9.5% 10.2% 11.1% 13.1% 10.3% 2.5%
Alexa Whitman 4.3% 6.0% 4.2% 6.3% 6.5% 6.6% 8.6% 9.4% 12.0% 15.0% 16.6% 4.5%
Cameron Turner 11.5% 10.8% 10.4% 10.4% 10.8% 10.2% 10.5% 8.9% 8.2% 5.9% 2.3% 0.1%
Valerio Palamara 15.2% 12.3% 13.4% 11.8% 10.5% 10.1% 8.7% 7.5% 6.3% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3%
Ethan Stone 6.0% 6.3% 7.3% 7.2% 6.9% 8.2% 8.8% 10.2% 13.2% 13.2% 10.1% 2.7%
David Berson 2.4% 2.6% 2.9% 3.2% 3.5% 3.4% 5.0% 6.9% 8.9% 13.1% 32.1% 16.1%
Damian Bianchi 0.6% 0.7% 0.9% 0.9% 1.1% 1.1% 1.5% 2.1% 2.5% 5.5% 11.6% 71.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.