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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria1.87+2.08vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria0.72+3.38vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria1.61+0.54vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.87-0.98vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia0.38+1.17vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.90-1.02vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria0.14-0.42vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria-1.10+1.19vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.07-1.93vs Predicted
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10University of British Columbia-1.21-0.61vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria-1.19-1.44vs Predicted
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12University of British Columbia-1.48-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.08University of Victoria1.870.2%1st Place
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5.38University of Victoria0.720.1%1st Place
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3.54University of Victoria1.610.2%1st Place
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3.02Western Washington University1.870.2%1st Place
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6.17University of British Columbia0.380.0%1st Place
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4.98Western Washington University0.900.1%1st Place
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6.58University of Victoria0.140.0%1st Place
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9.19University of Victoria-1.100.0%1st Place
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7.07University of Washington-0.070.0%1st Place
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9.39University of British Columbia-1.210.0%1st Place
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9.56University of Victoria-1.190.0%1st Place
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10.04University of British Columbia-1.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Berry | 23.7% | 20.9% | 19.2% | 15.4% | 10.1% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Manuel Gomez | 6.3% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ross Jespersen | 19.5% | 16.8% | 18.0% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Foley | 24.4% | 24.6% | 15.9% | 14.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Dodd | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Jake Fetterman | 9.6% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jasmin Chana | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 1.2% |
| Noah Havelaar | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 18.5% | 21.0% | 17.5% |
| Tate Higgins | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 16.5% | 15.0% | 10.7% | 5.3% | 1.5% |
| Ivan Lobachev | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 18.2% | 19.5% | 22.3% |
| Carleen Kukat | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 19.1% | 22.6% | 22.4% |
| Fraser MacSporran | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 22.1% | 34.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.