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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
kai rauch 10.3% 8.2% 9.4% 10.0% 9.8% 11.2% 10.4% 8.8% 9.4% 8.0% 4.0% 0.4%
Brian Fox 11.3% 11.6% 12.3% 10.1% 10.2% 10.2% 10.2% 9.3% 7.9% 4.7% 1.8% 0.3%
Connor Mraz 12.4% 11.0% 11.8% 11.1% 12.0% 10.9% 9.4% 8.2% 7.1% 4.3% 1.5% 0.1%
Stewart Gurnell 12.6% 12.2% 11.2% 13.5% 11.5% 9.9% 9.5% 8.2% 6.1% 3.8% 1.4% 0.2%
Aidan Young 9.2% 9.8% 9.6% 8.5% 9.1% 10.1% 9.0% 10.2% 9.9% 8.8% 4.9% 0.9%
Valerio Palamara 14.0% 14.4% 13.2% 12.2% 10.4% 9.4% 9.2% 7.7% 4.7% 3.6% 1.1% 0.1%
Alexa Whitman 5.1% 4.7% 5.3% 4.2% 6.5% 6.6% 9.2% 9.3% 12.8% 15.6% 16.2% 4.5%
Ethan Stone 5.7% 7.3% 6.8% 8.1% 6.5% 8.3% 7.8% 11.0% 11.2% 14.3% 10.7% 2.4%
Iain Shand 6.3% 6.2% 6.0% 7.4% 8.8% 8.5% 8.2% 11.8% 11.6% 13.0% 9.6% 2.6%
David Berson 1.9% 2.9% 2.7% 2.8% 3.3% 3.2% 4.4% 5.7% 9.2% 13.9% 33.3% 16.9%
Cameron Turner 10.8% 11.1% 11.2% 11.2% 11.4% 10.2% 11.2% 7.8% 7.1% 5.1% 2.5% 0.2%
Damian Bianchi 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 1.4% 1.6% 1.8% 3.0% 5.0% 13.0% 71.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.