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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of British Columbia0.38+5.21vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria0.72+3.35vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria0.14+3.58vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria1.87-0.93vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.90-0.05vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria1.61-2.45vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University1.87-3.95vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.07-0.98vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria-1.10-0.75vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria-1.19-1.61vs Predicted
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12University of British Columbia-1.21-2.41vs Predicted
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13University of British Columbia-1.48-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.21University of British Columbia0.380.0%1st Place
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5.35University of Victoria0.720.1%1st Place
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6.58University of Victoria0.140.1%1st Place
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3.07University of Victoria1.870.2%1st Place
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4.95Western Washington University0.900.1%1st Place
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3.55University of Victoria1.610.2%1st Place
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3.05Western Washington University1.870.3%1st Place
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7.02University of Washington-0.070.0%1st Place
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9.25University of Victoria-1.100.0%1st Place
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9.39University of Victoria-1.190.0%1st Place
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9.59University of British Columbia-1.210.0%1st Place
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10.0University of British Columbia-1.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Dodd | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Manuel Gomez | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 15.7% | 14.4% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Jasmin Chana | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| David Berry | 23.3% | 23.9% | 17.2% | 15.0% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Fetterman | 9.1% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 15.5% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ross Jespersen | 19.0% | 15.7% | 19.1% | 15.5% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Foley | 25.7% | 21.2% | 16.8% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tate Higgins | 2.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 16.7% | 13.9% | 10.3% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Noah Havelaar | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 18.7% | 20.6% | 16.8% |
| Carleen Kukat | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 17.5% | 22.6% | 20.0% |
| Ivan Lobachev | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 18.7% | 20.7% | 24.2% |
| Fraser MacSporran | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 10.7% | 15.1% | 21.0% | 34.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.