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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook0.88+4.68vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.21+3.11vs Predicted
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3Princeton University1.87+1.97vs Predicted
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4Washington College1.66+0.84vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.73+0.84vs Predicted
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6Hampton University1.47-1.42vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University0.19+0.63vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame0.49-1.13vs Predicted
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9Drexel University0.47-2.16vs Predicted
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10University of Delaware-0.51-0.72vs Predicted
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11Rochester Institute of Technology1.06-5.83vs Predicted
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12Villanova University-1.87-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.68SUNY Stony Brook0.8810.3%1st Place
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5.11Christopher Newport University1.2111.3%1st Place
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4.97Princeton University1.8712.4%1st Place
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4.84Washington College1.6612.6%1st Place
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5.84Virginia Tech0.739.2%1st Place
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4.58Hampton University1.4714.0%1st Place
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7.63Syracuse University0.195.1%1st Place
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6.87University of Notre Dame0.495.7%1st Place
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6.84Drexel University0.476.3%1st Place
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9.28University of Delaware-0.511.9%1st Place
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5.17Rochester Institute of Technology1.0610.8%1st Place
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11.18Villanova University-1.870.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
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kai rauch | 10.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
Brian Fox | 11.3% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
Connor Mraz | 12.4% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
Stewart Gurnell | 12.6% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
Aidan Young | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
Valerio Palamara | 14.0% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Alexa Whitman | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 15.6% | 16.2% | 4.5% |
Ethan Stone | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 2.4% |
Iain Shand | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 2.6% |
David Berson | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 33.3% | 16.9% |
Cameron Turner | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
Damian Bianchi | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 13.0% | 71.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.