Race 5A

luce

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Brian Fox 11.3% 10.8% 11.1% 10.7% 10.0% 11.2% 8.9% 8.9% 7.5% 5.5% 3.1% 0.9% 0.1%
Aidan Young 8.3% 8.7% 9.0% 7.6% 9.6% 9.7% 8.9% 10.8% 9.1% 8.8% 6.2% 2.6% 0.5%
Valerio Palamara 14.6% 13.2% 12.7% 12.6% 10.4% 10.5% 8.3% 7.6% 4.9% 2.5% 1.9% 0.8% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 13.8% 12.4% 10.8% 12.4% 10.7% 9.5% 8.6% 7.8% 6.2% 4.5% 2.7% 0.6% 0.0%
kai rauch 8.0% 9.5% 10.4% 8.8% 10.6% 10.1% 8.9% 9.5% 9.7% 7.1% 4.9% 2.3% 0.2%
Stewart Gurnell 13.0% 11.6% 12.6% 11.5% 10.7% 10.7% 9.2% 8.2% 6.7% 4.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Cameron Turner 11.5% 11.8% 10.8% 11.4% 9.3% 7.8% 10.2% 7.8% 7.0% 7.1% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3%
Alexa Whitman 4.0% 4.9% 5.0% 6.3% 6.7% 6.5% 7.6% 8.0% 10.8% 13.6% 15.0% 9.6% 2.2%
Ethan Stone 4.9% 6.2% 6.3% 7.0% 7.5% 8.6% 8.8% 10.5% 11.5% 11.9% 10.2% 5.1% 1.4%
Iain Shand 6.5% 6.3% 6.3% 6.2% 8.2% 7.3% 10.2% 8.8% 10.2% 11.6% 10.9% 6.3% 1.3%
Luke Plecinoga 1.2% 1.8% 1.4% 2.5% 2.1% 3.2% 3.6% 4.7% 6.6% 8.4% 14.5% 30.1% 19.8%
David Berson 2.2% 2.4% 2.9% 2.1% 3.5% 3.8% 5.6% 5.7% 7.7% 11.7% 17.9% 23.2% 11.2%
Damian Bianchi 0.7% 0.4% 0.7% 0.9% 0.9% 1.2% 1.2% 1.7% 2.1% 3.0% 7.6% 16.6% 62.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.