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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria0.72+4.43vs Predicted
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2University of British Columbia0.38+4.12vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.90+1.91vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria1.61-0.47vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria1.87-1.92vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria0.14+0.67vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University1.87-3.96vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.07-1.98vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria-1.19-0.57vs Predicted
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11University of British Columbia-1.21-1.57vs Predicted
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12University of British Columbia-1.48-1.95vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria-1.10-3.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.43University of Victoria0.720.1%1st Place
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6.12University of British Columbia0.380.0%1st Place
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4.91Western Washington University0.900.1%1st Place
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3.53University of Victoria1.610.2%1st Place
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3.08University of Victoria1.870.2%1st Place
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6.67University of Victoria0.140.0%1st Place
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3.04Western Washington University1.870.3%1st Place
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7.02University of Washington-0.070.0%1st Place
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9.43University of Victoria-1.190.0%1st Place
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9.43University of British Columbia-1.210.0%1st Place
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10.05University of British Columbia-1.480.0%1st Place
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9.3University of Victoria-1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manuel Gomez | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Alex Dodd | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 13.3% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Jake Fetterman | 9.2% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ross Jespersen | 18.6% | 16.4% | 19.3% | 16.8% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Berry | 24.1% | 23.0% | 17.4% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasmin Chana | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 14.7% | 16.0% | 13.8% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Paul Foley | 25.7% | 21.3% | 17.4% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tate Higgins | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 2.2% |
| Carleen Kukat | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 18.8% | 20.9% | 20.2% |
| Ivan Lobachev | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 13.4% | 18.6% | 20.5% | 21.6% |
| Fraser MacSporran | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 16.5% | 22.0% | 34.3% |
| Noah Havelaar | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 17.0% | 21.6% | 19.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.