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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria1.87+2.09vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria0.72+3.36vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria1.61+0.52vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.90+1.04vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria0.14+1.71vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.87-2.95vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-1.10+2.14vs Predicted
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8University of British Columbia0.38-1.96vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.07-2.97vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria-1.19-1.63vs Predicted
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12University of British Columbia-1.21-2.40vs Predicted
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13University of British Columbia-1.48-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09University of Victoria1.870.2%1st Place
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5.36University of Victoria0.720.1%1st Place
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3.52University of Victoria1.610.2%1st Place
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5.04Western Washington University0.900.1%1st Place
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6.71University of Victoria0.140.0%1st Place
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3.05Western Washington University1.870.2%1st Place
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9.14University of Victoria-1.100.0%1st Place
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6.04University of British Columbia0.380.1%1st Place
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7.03University of Washington-0.070.0%1st Place
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9.37University of Victoria-1.190.0%1st Place
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9.6University of British Columbia-1.210.0%1st Place
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10.04University of British Columbia-1.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Berry | 23.7% | 20.9% | 19.4% | 14.5% | 10.3% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Manuel Gomez | 6.6% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ross Jespersen | 19.4% | 16.6% | 17.8% | 15.2% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Fetterman | 7.8% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jasmin Chana | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 4.7% | 1.0% |
| Paul Foley | 24.8% | 22.0% | 17.1% | 15.0% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Havelaar | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 16.6% | 19.0% | 18.8% |
| Alex Dodd | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Tate Higgins | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 15.1% | 15.7% | 10.6% | 5.4% | 1.3% |
| Carleen Kukat | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 17.8% | 22.2% | 20.3% |
| Ivan Lobachev | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 12.2% | 18.5% | 21.3% | 24.0% |
| Fraser MacSporran | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 15.4% | 22.8% | 33.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.