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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.73+5.27vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook0.88+3.95vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.47+1.70vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology1.06+1.31vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.21+0.27vs Predicted
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6Princeton University1.87-0.97vs Predicted
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7Drexel University0.47+0.10vs Predicted
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8Washington College1.66-3.23vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-0.51+0.51vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University0.19-2.15vs Predicted
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11University of Notre Dame0.49-4.06vs Predicted
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12Villanova University-1.87-0.11vs Predicted
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13Unknown School-0.93-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.27Virginia Tech0.738.1%1st Place
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5.95SUNY Stony Brook0.889.2%1st Place
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4.7Hampton University1.4714.2%1st Place
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5.31Rochester Institute of Technology1.0611.1%1st Place
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5.27Christopher Newport University1.2111.6%1st Place
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5.03Princeton University1.8712.6%1st Place
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7.1Drexel University0.475.5%1st Place
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4.77Washington College1.6613.5%1st Place
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9.51University of Delaware-0.511.6%1st Place
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7.85Syracuse University0.194.2%1st Place
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6.94University of Notre Dame0.496.6%1st Place
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11.89Villanova University-1.870.6%1st Place
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10.4Unknown School-0.931.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
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Aidan Young | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
kai rauch | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
Valerio Palamara | 14.2% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Cameron Turner | 11.1% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
Brian Fox | 11.6% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Connor Mraz | 12.6% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
Iain Shand | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 5.7% | 1.1% |
Stewart Gurnell | 13.5% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
David Berson | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 19.6% | 21.8% | 10.0% |
Alexa Whitman | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 2.5% |
Ethan Stone | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 1.0% |
Damian Bianchi | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 7.3% | 14.8% | 63.7% |
Luke Plecinoga | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 15.0% | 31.8% | 20.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.