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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria1.87+2.10vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.90+3.00vs Predicted
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3University of British Columbia0.38+3.12vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria0.72+1.37vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria1.61-1.44vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.07+0.16vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria0.14-1.46vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria-1.10+0.18vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University1.87-7.05vs Predicted
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11University of British Columbia-1.48-1.09vs Predicted
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12University of British Columbia-1.21-2.40vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria-1.19-3.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1University of Victoria1.870.2%1st Place
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5.0Western Washington University0.900.1%1st Place
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6.12University of British Columbia0.380.1%1st Place
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5.37University of Victoria0.720.1%1st Place
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3.56University of Victoria1.610.2%1st Place
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7.16University of Washington-0.070.0%1st Place
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6.54University of Victoria0.140.0%1st Place
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9.18University of Victoria-1.100.0%1st Place
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2.95Western Washington University1.870.3%1st Place
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9.91University of British Columbia-1.480.0%1st Place
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9.6University of British Columbia-1.210.0%1st Place
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9.52University of Victoria-1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Berry | 23.7% | 21.6% | 17.9% | 14.9% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Fetterman | 7.5% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alex Dodd | 6.3% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 10.2% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Manuel Gomez | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Ross Jespersen | 18.3% | 19.7% | 16.8% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tate Higgins | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 6.0% | 1.7% |
| Jasmin Chana | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 12.7% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Noah Havelaar | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 18.4% | 21.0% | 16.8% |
| Paul Foley | 26.3% | 23.1% | 16.6% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fraser MacSporran | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 11.1% | 14.7% | 20.0% | 33.5% |
| Ivan Lobachev | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 17.4% | 23.0% | 22.6% |
| Carleen Kukat | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 17.5% | 21.5% | 23.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.