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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.21+3.84vs Predicted
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2Princeton University1.87+2.60vs Predicted
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3Washington College1.66+1.55vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-1.10+5.82vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook0.88+0.35vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology1.06-1.04vs Predicted
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7Drexel University0.47-0.47vs Predicted
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8Hampton University1.47-3.73vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University0.19-1.85vs Predicted
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10University of Notre Dame0.49-3.57vs Predicted
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11University of Delaware-0.51-2.32vs Predicted
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12Villanova University-1.87-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.84Christopher Newport University1.2113.5%1st Place
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4.6Princeton University1.8714.0%1st Place
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4.55Washington College1.6613.5%1st Place
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9.82Virginia Tech-1.101.2%1st Place
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5.35SUNY Stony Brook0.888.8%1st Place
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4.96Rochester Institute of Technology1.0612.7%1st Place
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6.53Drexel University0.476.7%1st Place
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4.27Hampton University1.4714.3%1st Place
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7.15Syracuse University0.194.7%1st Place
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6.43University of Notre Dame0.497.0%1st Place
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8.68University of Delaware-0.512.8%1st Place
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10.83Villanova University-1.870.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
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Brian Fox | 13.5% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
Connor Mraz | 14.0% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Stewart Gurnell | 13.5% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
James Corckran | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 15.3% | 31.6% | 24.9% |
kai rauch | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
Cameron Turner | 12.7% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
Iain Shand | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 1.5% |
Valerio Palamara | 14.3% | 14.9% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Alexa Whitman | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 9.4% | 2.2% |
Ethan Stone | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 5.8% | 1.1% |
David Berson | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 20.8% | 21.3% | 11.2% |
Damian Bianchi | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 7.5% | 19.6% | 58.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.