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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College0.19+4.63vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.04+4.00vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.48+1.82vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology0.49+0.88vs Predicted
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5Hampton University0.72-1.56vs Predicted
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6Princeton University0.84-1.99vs Predicted
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7Hamilton College0.01-1.11vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University-0.99+0.50vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-2.12vs Predicted
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10Villanova University-1.01-1.37vs Predicted
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11Drexel University-1.13-2.25vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-2.09-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.63Washington College0.199.0%1st Place
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6.0Virginia Tech0.047.4%1st Place
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4.82Christopher Newport University0.4811.7%1st Place
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4.88Rochester Institute of Technology0.4911.9%1st Place
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3.44Hampton University0.7220.7%1st Place
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4.01Princeton University0.8417.2%1st Place
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5.89Hamilton College0.018.2%1st Place
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8.5Syracuse University-0.992.6%1st Place
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6.88SUNY Stony Brook-0.284.8%1st Place
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8.63Villanova University-1.012.5%1st Place
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8.75Drexel University-1.133.1%1st Place
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10.58University of Delaware-2.090.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Bonacci | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Brock Diaz | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| David Grace | 11.7% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Cole Bender | 11.9% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Stefano Palamara | 20.7% | 21.2% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 17.2% | 16.8% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Michael Stewart | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Collin Ross | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 19.0% | 12.4% |
| Brendan Strein | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 2.2% |
| Joe Cooner | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 18.2% | 19.1% | 13.2% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 15.9% | 21.6% | 15.7% |
| Taylor Whiteman | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 18.2% | 53.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.