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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria1.87+2.08vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.87+1.04vs Predicted
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3University of British Columbia0.38+3.11vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria0.72+1.36vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria1.61-1.44vs Predicted
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6University of British Columbia-1.21+3.51vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.07+0.02vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria0.14-1.41vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria-1.10+0.23vs Predicted
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11University of British Columbia-1.48-1.08vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria-1.19-2.45vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.90-7.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.08University of Victoria1.870.2%1st Place
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3.04Western Washington University1.870.2%1st Place
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6.11University of British Columbia0.380.1%1st Place
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5.36University of Victoria0.720.1%1st Place
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3.56University of Victoria1.610.2%1st Place
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9.51University of British Columbia-1.210.0%1st Place
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7.02University of Washington-0.070.0%1st Place
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6.59University of Victoria0.140.0%1st Place
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9.23University of Victoria-1.100.0%1st Place
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9.92University of British Columbia-1.480.0%1st Place
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9.55University of Victoria-1.190.0%1st Place
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5.04Western Washington University0.900.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Berry | 22.2% | 21.8% | 21.1% | 13.9% | 10.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Foley | 25.0% | 21.9% | 17.2% | 14.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Dodd | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 15.3% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Manuel Gomez | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Ross Jespersen | 18.1% | 19.3% | 17.3% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ivan Lobachev | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 12.3% | 17.5% | 22.0% | 22.9% |
| Tate Higgins | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 15.9% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 6.4% | 2.3% |
| Jasmin Chana | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% |
| Noah Havelaar | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 20.9% | 19.1% | 16.6% |
| Fraser MacSporran | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 14.9% | 21.3% | 32.9% |
| Carleen Kukat | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 14.4% | 15.9% | 23.3% | 22.3% |
| Jake Fetterman | 8.9% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.