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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria1.61+2.61vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria1.87+1.08vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria0.72+2.35vs Predicted
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4University of British Columbia0.38+2.10vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.90-0.07vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.87-2.94vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria0.14-0.46vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.07-1.97vs Predicted
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10University of British Columbia-1.48-0.06vs Predicted
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11University of British Columbia-1.21-1.57vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria-1.19-2.44vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria-1.10-3.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.61University of Victoria1.610.2%1st Place
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3.08University of Victoria1.870.2%1st Place
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5.35University of Victoria0.720.1%1st Place
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6.1University of British Columbia0.380.0%1st Place
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4.93Western Washington University0.900.1%1st Place
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3.06Western Washington University1.870.2%1st Place
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6.54University of Victoria0.140.0%1st Place
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7.03University of Washington-0.070.0%1st Place
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9.94University of British Columbia-1.480.0%1st Place
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9.43University of British Columbia-1.210.0%1st Place
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9.56University of Victoria-1.190.0%1st Place
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9.36University of Victoria-1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ross Jespersen | 17.8% | 15.7% | 19.3% | 16.4% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Berry | 23.4% | 22.8% | 18.4% | 13.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Manuel Gomez | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Alex Dodd | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Jake Fetterman | 8.7% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Paul Foley | 24.3% | 22.6% | 16.9% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasmin Chana | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 15.7% | 12.8% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Tate Higgins | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 2.4% |
| Fraser MacSporran | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 16.1% | 23.6% | 29.5% |
| Ivan Lobachev | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 17.3% | 22.0% | 21.2% |
| Carleen Kukat | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 12.4% | 18.1% | 19.8% | 24.4% |
| Noah Havelaar | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 18.5% | 19.6% | 20.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.