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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University0.84+2.99vs Predicted
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2Washington College0.19+3.54vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology0.49+1.80vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.48+0.83vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.04+0.94vs Predicted
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6Hampton University0.72-2.48vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-0.99+1.48vs Predicted
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8Hamilton College0.01-2.02vs Predicted
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9Drexel University-1.13-0.27vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-3.12vs Predicted
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11Villanova University-1.01-2.26vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-2.09-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.99Princeton University0.8416.4%1st Place
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5.54Washington College0.199.3%1st Place
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4.8Rochester Institute of Technology0.4912.1%1st Place
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4.83Christopher Newport University0.4812.6%1st Place
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5.94Virginia Tech0.048.6%1st Place
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3.52Hampton University0.7220.4%1st Place
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8.48Syracuse University-0.993.0%1st Place
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5.98Hamilton College0.016.8%1st Place
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8.73Drexel University-1.132.2%1st Place
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6.88SUNY Stony Brook-0.285.5%1st Place
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8.74Villanova University-1.012.5%1st Place
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10.58University of Delaware-2.090.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
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Asher Green | 16.4% | 16.4% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Joseph Bonacci | 9.3% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
Cole Bender | 12.1% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
David Grace | 12.6% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
Brock Diaz | 8.6% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
Stefano Palamara | 20.4% | 19.8% | 16.4% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Collin Ross | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 17.4% | 19.3% | 11.9% |
Michael Stewart | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
Yanni Tsetsekos | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 17.7% | 19.8% | 14.3% |
Brendan Strein | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 2.8% |
Joe Cooner | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 15.5% | 20.5% | 14.8% |
Taylor Whiteman | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 9.5% | 18.6% | 52.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.