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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.48+3.88vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.72+1.46vs Predicted
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3Princeton University0.84+0.94vs Predicted
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4Hamilton College0.01+1.87vs Predicted
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5Washington College0.19+0.44vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology0.49-1.23vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech0.04-1.08vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.58+0.18vs Predicted
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9Drexel University-1.13-0.04vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-0.99-1.34vs Predicted
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11Villanova University-1.01-2.28vs Predicted
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12Unknown School-2.36-0.75vs Predicted
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13University of Delaware-2.09-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.88Christopher Newport University0.4811.1%1st Place
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3.46Hampton University0.7222.9%1st Place
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3.94Princeton University0.8417.5%1st Place
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5.87Hamilton College0.018.5%1st Place
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5.44Washington College0.199.2%1st Place
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4.77Rochester Institute of Technology0.4911.7%1st Place
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5.92Virginia Tech0.047.4%1st Place
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8.18SUNY Stony Brook-0.582.6%1st Place
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8.96Drexel University-1.132.9%1st Place
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8.66Syracuse University-0.992.2%1st Place
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8.72Villanova University-1.012.4%1st Place
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11.25Unknown School-2.360.7%1st Place
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10.94University of Delaware-2.090.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Grace | 11.1% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Stefano Palamara | 22.9% | 18.1% | 16.4% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 17.5% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Michael Stewart | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 9.2% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Cole Bender | 11.7% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Brock Diaz | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Magill | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 8.9% | 3.4% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 16.4% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 7.5% |
| Collin Ross | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 12.0% | 5.2% |
| Joe Cooner | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 18.6% | 12.6% | 5.5% |
| Mary Geise | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 20.9% | 44.8% |
| Taylor Whiteman | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 13.1% | 26.5% | 32.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.