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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.90+4.03vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria1.87+1.06vs Predicted
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3University of British Columbia0.38+3.07vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria1.61-0.44vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.87-1.89vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria0.72-0.67vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.07-0.01vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria0.14-1.43vs Predicted
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9University of British Columbia-1.21+0.48vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria-1.19-0.60vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria-1.10-1.62vs Predicted
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12University of British Columbia-1.48-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.03Western Washington University0.900.1%1st Place
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3.06University of Victoria1.870.2%1st Place
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6.07University of British Columbia0.380.1%1st Place
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3.56University of Victoria1.610.2%1st Place
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3.11Western Washington University1.870.2%1st Place
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5.33University of Victoria0.720.1%1st Place
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6.99University of Washington-0.070.0%1st Place
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6.57University of Victoria0.140.0%1st Place
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9.48University of British Columbia-1.210.0%1st Place
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9.4University of Victoria-1.190.0%1st Place
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9.38University of Victoria-1.100.0%1st Place
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10.02University of British Columbia-1.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Fetterman | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 17.0% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| David Berry | 22.6% | 22.5% | 20.0% | 14.0% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Dodd | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 10.1% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Ross Jespersen | 18.1% | 17.7% | 18.5% | 15.7% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Foley | 24.9% | 20.9% | 17.8% | 13.8% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Manuel Gomez | 6.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 15.5% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Tate Higgins | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 10.4% | 6.1% | 2.6% |
| Jasmin Chana | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 13.3% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Ivan Lobachev | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 18.7% | 22.8% | 19.7% |
| Carleen Kukat | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 17.6% | 23.3% | 19.5% |
| Noah Havelaar | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 18.4% | 18.9% | 21.7% |
| Fraser MacSporran | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 10.6% | 16.6% | 20.9% | 33.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.