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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.90+4.00vs Predicted
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2University of British Columbia0.38+4.15vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria0.72+2.36vs Predicted
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4University of British Columbia-1.48+5.98vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria1.87-1.91vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria0.14+0.69vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria1.61-3.51vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria-1.10+1.14vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University1.87-6.01vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.07-2.95vs Predicted
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11University of British Columbia-1.21-1.44vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria-1.19-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.0Western Washington University0.900.1%1st Place
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6.15University of British Columbia0.380.0%1st Place
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5.36University of Victoria0.720.1%1st Place
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9.98University of British Columbia-1.480.0%1st Place
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3.09University of Victoria1.870.2%1st Place
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6.69University of Victoria0.140.0%1st Place
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3.49University of Victoria1.610.2%1st Place
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9.14University of Victoria-1.100.0%1st Place
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2.99Western Washington University1.870.2%1st Place
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7.05University of Washington-0.070.0%1st Place
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9.56University of British Columbia-1.210.0%1st Place
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9.52University of Victoria-1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Fetterman | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 17.3% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Alex Dodd | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Manuel Gomez | 7.6% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Fraser MacSporran | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 16.8% | 19.4% | 33.4% |
| David Berry | 24.1% | 23.2% | 16.5% | 13.9% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasmin Chana | 3.9% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 17.6% | 13.3% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Ross Jespersen | 19.8% | 18.1% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 13.3% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Havelaar | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 18.7% | 19.2% | 18.3% |
| Paul Foley | 23.7% | 23.4% | 19.3% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tate Higgins | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 1.9% |
| Ivan Lobachev | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 17.4% | 22.9% | 22.2% |
| Carleen Kukat | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 13.2% | 16.3% | 23.5% | 21.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.