Race 4B

luce

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Stefano Palamara 23.2% 19.2% 16.7% 12.2% 10.2% 7.0% 6.4% 3.1% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Joseph Bonacci 8.6% 9.6% 9.6% 9.8% 12.2% 11.7% 12.3% 10.8% 7.0% 4.3% 3.4% 0.8% 0.2%
Asher Green 16.9% 18.0% 15.1% 13.3% 11.4% 9.2% 7.8% 3.5% 3.2% 0.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Cole Bender 13.8% 11.7% 12.6% 12.2% 12.0% 10.0% 9.7% 8.3% 5.5% 3.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
David Grace 11.9% 11.7% 12.3% 14.1% 10.7% 10.3% 9.8% 7.4% 6.2% 3.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Michael Stewart 7.5% 7.8% 9.2% 9.6% 11.3% 11.8% 11.3% 11.7% 8.2% 7.0% 3.0% 1.2% 0.2%
Brock Diaz 6.8% 8.2% 8.8% 10.9% 10.3% 12.0% 9.7% 11.3% 10.1% 6.4% 3.9% 1.5% 0.1%
Ryan Magill 2.6% 4.0% 3.4% 4.5% 5.7% 7.4% 7.8% 11.5% 13.6% 14.1% 14.0% 8.6% 2.8%
Yanni Tsetsekos 2.1% 2.2% 3.0% 3.6% 3.7% 4.2% 6.5% 8.9% 12.2% 15.2% 17.6% 14.7% 6.1%
Collin Ross 2.6% 3.5% 3.8% 3.6% 4.8% 6.7% 7.3% 8.6% 12.6% 14.7% 16.2% 11.2% 4.4%
Joe Cooner 2.5% 2.5% 3.3% 3.5% 4.2% 6.2% 6.0% 8.8% 10.2% 14.6% 18.3% 14.3% 5.5%
Taylor Whiteman 0.9% 0.8% 1.2% 1.5% 2.2% 2.1% 2.7% 3.2% 5.7% 9.6% 10.8% 25.2% 34.1%
Mary Geise 0.6% 0.9% 1.1% 1.2% 1.4% 1.7% 2.5% 2.8% 4.3% 6.2% 9.7% 21.3% 46.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.