← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College3.50+6.31vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+6.13vs Predicted
-
3Connecticut College2.92+6.71vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College3.23+4.71vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University3.48+2.62vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University3.39+2.00vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College2.73+3.54vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95+1.50vs Predicted
-
9Yale University3.50-1.61vs Predicted
-
10College of Charleston3.22-1.38vs Predicted
-
11Boston University2.74-0.63vs Predicted
-
12Brown University3.79-5.55vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island3.02-3.64vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont2.86-4.20vs Predicted
-
15Harvard University3.67-8.07vs Predicted
-
16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-8.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.31Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
-
8.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
-
9.71Connecticut College2.920.0%1st Place
-
8.71Dartmouth College3.230.0%1st Place
-
7.62Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
-
8.0Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
-
10.54Bowdoin College2.730.0%1st Place
-
9.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
-
7.39Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
-
8.62College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
-
10.37Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
-
6.45Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
-
9.36University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
-
9.8University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
-
6.93Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
-
7.58St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Maxwell | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% |
| Krysta Rohde | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% |
| Lucy Wallace | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.9% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 4.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Morgan Wilson | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% |
| Charlotte Williamson | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 16.1% |
| Katii Gullick | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% |
| Corey Hall | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 14.4% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 11.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 10.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Mayumi Roller | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.