Race 3B

saisa-women-fleet-racing-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Kalea Woodard 17.6% 19.3% 17.2% 15.0% 12.3% 9.2% 5.2% 3.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Emily Alfortish 30.1% 24.2% 16.4% 12.9% 8.5% 4.7% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1%
Emma Gumny 3.0% 3.8% 5.7% 6.6% 7.7% 9.6% 13.8% 18.9% 20.1% 9.3% 1.6%
Kaitlyn Liebel 14.1% 14.8% 16.1% 14.6% 14.1% 13.0% 7.3% 3.9% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Julia Scott 6.6% 7.2% 7.1% 10.2% 13.0% 13.9% 16.6% 14.5% 8.1% 2.5% 0.4%
Ava Moring 1.8% 2.9% 2.9% 3.2% 4.4% 5.8% 12.3% 15.5% 26.8% 18.1% 6.5%
Ashton Loring 13.1% 12.9% 15.5% 15.5% 15.1% 11.8% 8.6% 4.8% 2.0% 0.7% 0.1%
Daniella Woodbridge 4.4% 4.6% 6.8% 7.2% 8.0% 13.0% 15.2% 17.8% 15.2% 6.4% 1.4%
Lyla Solway 8.3% 9.0% 10.6% 12.6% 14.0% 15.1% 12.5% 11.1% 5.3% 1.2% 0.2%
Olivia Figley 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 1.3% 1.9% 2.5% 3.8% 6.2% 12.4% 40.3% 29.4%
Ashley Flanagan 0.4% 0.5% 1.0% 0.8% 0.9% 1.8% 2.5% 3.4% 7.2% 21.1% 60.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.