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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria1.87+2.08vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.90+3.00vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.87+0.07vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria0.72+1.40vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia0.38+1.14vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria1.61-2.49vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria0.14-0.46vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.07-0.99vs Predicted
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9University of British Columbia-1.21+0.44vs Predicted
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10University of British Columbia-1.48-0.07vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria-1.10-1.64vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria-1.19-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.08University of Victoria1.870.2%1st Place
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5.0Western Washington University0.900.1%1st Place
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3.07Western Washington University1.870.2%1st Place
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5.4University of Victoria0.720.1%1st Place
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6.14University of British Columbia0.380.0%1st Place
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3.51University of Victoria1.610.2%1st Place
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6.54University of Victoria0.140.0%1st Place
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7.01University of Washington-0.070.0%1st Place
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9.44University of British Columbia-1.210.0%1st Place
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9.93University of British Columbia-1.480.0%1st Place
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9.36University of Victoria-1.100.0%1st Place
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9.5University of Victoria-1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Berry | 24.0% | 21.1% | 18.8% | 15.4% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Fetterman | 7.7% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Paul Foley | 24.0% | 21.1% | 19.0% | 14.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Manuel Gomez | 7.1% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 10.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Alex Dodd | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Ross Jespersen | 19.3% | 18.8% | 15.5% | 16.1% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasmin Chana | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 15.6% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Tate Higgins | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 10.8% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Ivan Lobachev | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 17.9% | 23.2% | 18.8% |
| Fraser MacSporran | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 14.6% | 23.2% | 31.8% |
| Noah Havelaar | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 19.5% | 18.2% | 21.2% |
| Carleen Kukat | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 14.6% | 16.5% | 20.5% | 23.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.