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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.48+3.83vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.72+1.40vs Predicted
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3Washington College0.19+2.57vs Predicted
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4Princeton University0.84-0.14vs Predicted
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5Hamilton College0.01+0.79vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.58+1.94vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech0.04-1.09vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology0.49-3.30vs Predicted
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9Drexel University-1.13-0.32vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-0.99-1.59vs Predicted
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11Villanova University-1.01-2.50vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-2.09-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.83Christopher Newport University0.4811.7%1st Place
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3.4Hampton University0.7222.3%1st Place
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5.57Washington College0.198.3%1st Place
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3.86Princeton University0.8417.5%1st Place
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5.79Hamilton College0.018.6%1st Place
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7.94SUNY Stony Brook-0.584.0%1st Place
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5.91Virginia Tech0.048.2%1st Place
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4.7Rochester Institute of Technology0.4911.4%1st Place
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8.68Drexel University-1.132.5%1st Place
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8.41Syracuse University-0.992.2%1st Place
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8.5Villanova University-1.012.1%1st Place
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10.4University of Delaware-2.091.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
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David Grace | 11.7% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
Stefano Palamara | 22.3% | 18.8% | 17.4% | 14.3% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Joseph Bonacci | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
Asher Green | 17.5% | 17.8% | 16.2% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Michael Stewart | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
Ryan Magill | 4.0% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 7.8% |
Brock Diaz | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
Cole Bender | 11.4% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
Yanni Tsetsekos | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 17.9% | 20.5% | 14.0% |
Collin Ross | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 15.9% | 17.8% | 11.2% |
Joe Cooner | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 15.4% | 19.8% | 12.6% |
Taylor Whiteman | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 16.4% | 51.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.