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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.72+2.46vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.48+2.72vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology0.49+1.74vs Predicted
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4Princeton University0.84-0.13vs Predicted
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5Washington College0.19+0.54vs Predicted
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6Hamilton College0.01-0.19vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.58+0.99vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech0.04-2.02vs Predicted
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9Villanova University-1.01-0.61vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-1.13-1.31vs Predicted
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11University of Delaware-2.09-0.59vs Predicted
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12Syracuse University-0.99-3.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46Hampton University0.7222.2%1st Place
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4.72Christopher Newport University0.4810.5%1st Place
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4.74Rochester Institute of Technology0.4913.6%1st Place
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3.87Princeton University0.8417.3%1st Place
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5.54Washington College0.199.1%1st Place
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5.81Hamilton College0.018.2%1st Place
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7.99SUNY Stony Brook-0.582.5%1st Place
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5.98Virginia Tech0.047.4%1st Place
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8.39Villanova University-1.013.3%1st Place
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8.69Drexel University-1.132.5%1st Place
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10.41University of Delaware-2.090.9%1st Place
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8.38Syracuse University-0.992.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 22.2% | 19.4% | 16.0% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| David Grace | 10.5% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Cole Bender | 13.6% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Asher Green | 17.3% | 17.6% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 9.1% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Michael Stewart | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Magill | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 8.2% |
| Brock Diaz | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Joe Cooner | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 16.0% | 18.3% | 12.0% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 21.0% | 14.4% |
| Taylor Whiteman | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 16.4% | 51.6% |
| Collin Ross | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 17.2% | 17.9% | 10.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.