← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hamilton College0.01+4.91vs Predicted
-
2Princeton University0.84+1.95vs Predicted
-
3Christopher Newport University0.48+1.75vs Predicted
-
4Rochester Institute of Technology0.49+0.80vs Predicted
-
5Washington College0.20+0.68vs Predicted
-
6Virginia Tech0.04-0.03vs Predicted
-
7SUNY Stony Brook-0.58+1.17vs Predicted
-
8Hampton University0.72-4.52vs Predicted
-
9Syracuse University-0.99-0.48vs Predicted
-
10Drexel University-1.13-1.11vs Predicted
-
11Villanova University-1.01-2.30vs Predicted
-
12University of Delaware-2.09-1.16vs Predicted
-
13Unknown School-2.36-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.91Hamilton College0.017.6%1st Place
-
3.95Princeton University0.8416.9%1st Place
-
4.75Christopher Newport University0.4812.4%1st Place
-
4.8Rochester Institute of Technology0.4912.9%1st Place
-
5.68Washington College0.208.1%1st Place
-
5.97Virginia Tech0.047.4%1st Place
-
8.17SUNY Stony Brook-0.583.5%1st Place
-
3.48Hampton University0.7221.4%1st Place
-
8.52Syracuse University-0.992.3%1st Place
-
8.89Drexel University-1.132.8%1st Place
-
8.7Villanova University-1.012.9%1st Place
-
10.84University of Delaware-2.091.1%1st Place
-
11.33Unknown School-2.360.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Stewart | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Asher Green | 16.9% | 17.0% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Grace | 12.4% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cole Bender | 12.9% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kennedy Jones | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Brock Diaz | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Magill | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 9.3% | 3.1% |
| Stefano Palamara | 21.4% | 19.1% | 17.0% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Collin Ross | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 17.1% | 11.7% | 4.6% |
| Yanni Tsetsekos | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 16.3% | 15.5% | 6.7% |
| Joe Cooner | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 16.6% | 13.1% | 6.3% |
| Taylor Whiteman | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 23.3% | 33.4% |
| Mary Geise | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 21.9% | 45.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.