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📊 Prediction Accuracy
34.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.89+4.74vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.98+7.96vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.30+4.56vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+5.73vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.74+1.75vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.88+3.56vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy0.97+2.72vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.79-2.00vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.91+1.19vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego0.52+2.09vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley0.31+1.90vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California0.38+0.19vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-0.19+1.42vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-2.99vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University0.74-3.51vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego0.68-4.13vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-0.15-1.55vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-0.23-2.21vs Predicted
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19San Diego State University0.29-5.91vs Predicted
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20San Diego State University-0.19-4.76vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27-6.79vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.45-1.43vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego-1.72-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.74University of Southern California1.8913.9%1st Place
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9.96University of California at Berkeley0.985.1%1st Place
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7.56University of California at Los Angeles1.308.2%1st Place
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9.73Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.134.7%1st Place
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6.75University of California at Santa Barbara1.749.4%1st Place
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9.56University of Rhode Island0.885.5%1st Place
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9.72California Poly Maritime Academy0.975.2%1st Place
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6.0University of California at Los Angeles1.7912.3%1st Place
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10.19University of California at Santa Cruz0.914.7%1st Place
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12.09University of California at San Diego0.522.8%1st Place
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12.9University of California at Berkeley0.312.4%1st Place
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12.19University of Southern California0.383.3%1st Place
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14.42University of California at Davis-0.192.5%1st Place
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11.01University of California at Santa Cruz0.863.5%1st Place
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11.49Arizona State University0.743.1%1st Place
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11.87University of California at San Diego0.683.4%1st Place
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15.45University of California at San Diego-0.151.6%1st Place
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15.79University of California at Los Angeles-0.231.5%1st Place
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13.09San Diego State University0.292.2%1st Place
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15.24San Diego State University-0.191.7%1st Place
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14.21Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.272.3%1st Place
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20.57Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.450.4%1st Place
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20.49University of California at San Diego-1.720.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davis Winsor | 13.9% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Marianna Shand | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| David Alexander | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Louttit | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Grant Janov | 12.3% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin Olson | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Alexander | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Wilton Lawton | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Edward Ansart | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 1.8% |
| Blake Roberts | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Boylan | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Noah Barton | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Tobie Bloom | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 3.1% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 3.2% |
| Ian Collignon | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Morgan Burton | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 3.2% |
| Samuel Groom | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 24.8% | 41.9% |
| Michael Nodini | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 23.1% | 42.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.