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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Arizona State University-0.41+7.86vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.31+1.34vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.10+3.96vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.20+2.72vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-1.03+7.10vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83-1.02vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.90+4.51vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-0.39+1.46vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.88+2.34vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-1.14+2.84vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.75-0.18vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.00+0.16vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-1.43+1.09vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-0.91-2.01vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley-0.40-5.42vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-1.13-3.49vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-0.92-5.27vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-2.36-0.26vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-1.93-2.61vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-1.35-6.41vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-2.21-3.90vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-2.18-4.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.86Arizona State University-0.414.5%1st Place
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3.34California Poly Maritime Academy1.3124.1%1st Place
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6.96University of California at Santa Cruz0.109.3%1st Place
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6.72University of Southern California0.208.6%1st Place
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12.1University of California at Los Angeles-1.032.5%1st Place
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4.98Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.8314.1%1st Place
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11.51University of California at San Diego-0.903.0%1st Place
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9.46Arizona State University-0.394.2%1st Place
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11.34University of California at Berkeley-0.882.4%1st Place
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12.84University of California at Davis-1.142.0%1st Place
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10.82University of California at Berkeley-0.753.6%1st Place
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12.16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.002.9%1st Place
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14.09University of California at Los Angeles-1.431.5%1st Place
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11.99University of California at Davis-0.912.6%1st Place
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9.58University of California at Berkeley-0.404.2%1st Place
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12.51San Diego State University-1.132.8%1st Place
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11.73University of California at Los Angeles-0.922.9%1st Place
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17.74Arizona State University-2.360.8%1st Place
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16.39University of California at San Diego-1.930.9%1st Place
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13.59University of California at San Diego-1.351.6%1st Place
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17.1University of California at San Diego-2.210.9%1st Place
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17.19University of California at San Diego-2.180.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Powers | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Farmer | 24.1% | 22.5% | 15.7% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Zemke | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McKinley | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| samson grunwald | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Jack Kisling | 14.1% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Kalway | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Viola Phillips Frank | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Scarlett Dawson | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Connor Fagan | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Christopher Milan | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.4% |
| Kamille Romero | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Aivan Durfee | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Blake Grossman | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Frank Hobson | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Holden Clarke | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 15.2% | 26.1% |
| Joseph Weil | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 13.1% |
| Maximus Suh | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.0% |
| Sophia Pless | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 21.6% |
| Cassidy Murray | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 15.6% | 20.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.