← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.3
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+8.56vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara1.74+4.86vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Cruz0.91+7.07vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Los Angeles1.79+1.98vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Berkeley0.31+8.28vs Predicted
-
6Arizona State University0.74+5.60vs Predicted
-
7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27+7.16vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Davis-0.19+6.75vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island0.88+0.67vs Predicted
-
10California Poly Maritime Academy0.97-0.23vs Predicted
-
11University of Southern California1.89-5.12vs Predicted
-
12San Diego State University-0.19+3.42vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Los Angeles1.30-5.40vs Predicted
-
14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.45+6.50vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-4.23vs Predicted
-
16University of California at San Diego0.52-4.32vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Berkeley0.98-7.17vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Los Angeles-0.23-2.15vs Predicted
-
19University of California at San Diego-0.15-3.57vs Predicted
-
20University of California at San Diego0.68-8.06vs Predicted
-
21University of Southern California0.38-8.83vs Predicted
-
22San Diego State University0.29-9.41vs Predicted
-
23University of California at San Diego-1.72-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.56Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.135.4%1st Place
-
6.86University of California at Santa Barbara1.749.7%1st Place
-
10.07University of California at Santa Cruz0.915.1%1st Place
-
5.98University of California at Los Angeles1.7912.4%1st Place
-
13.28University of California at Berkeley0.311.9%1st Place
-
11.6Arizona State University0.742.9%1st Place
-
14.16Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.271.9%1st Place
-
14.75University of California at Davis-0.191.8%1st Place
-
9.67University of Rhode Island0.885.5%1st Place
-
9.77California Poly Maritime Academy0.974.8%1st Place
-
5.88University of Southern California1.8911.8%1st Place
-
15.42San Diego State University-0.192.1%1st Place
-
7.6University of California at Los Angeles1.307.7%1st Place
-
20.5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.450.4%1st Place
-
10.77University of California at Santa Cruz0.864.5%1st Place
-
11.68University of California at San Diego0.523.1%1st Place
-
9.83University of California at Berkeley0.985.6%1st Place
-
15.85University of California at Los Angeles-0.231.5%1st Place
-
15.43University of California at San Diego-0.151.7%1st Place
-
11.94University of California at San Diego0.683.6%1st Place
-
12.17University of Southern California0.383.2%1st Place
-
12.59San Diego State University0.293.0%1st Place
-
20.65University of California at San Diego-1.720.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kai Ponting | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Alexander | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Olson | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grant Janov | 12.4% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wilton Lawton | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Groom | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 1.8% |
| Molly Coghlin | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Louttit | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Davis Winsor | 11.8% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Burton | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 3.2% |
| Marianna Shand | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 24.6% | 41.7% |
| Blake Roberts | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| John Alexander | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 3.5% |
| Tobie Bloom | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 2.9% |
| Noah Barton | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Edward Ansart | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Ian Collignon | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Michael Nodini | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 25.5% | 42.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.