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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+8.75vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.79+3.97vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.89+2.79vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.74+2.82vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.91+5.11vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.53vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.88+2.40vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California0.38+4.30vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.98+1.18vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego0.68+1.79vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27+3.03vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.15+3.35vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University0.29-0.11vs Predicted
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14California Poly Maritime Academy0.97-4.21vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego0.52-3.01vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University0.74-4.44vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-5.94vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-0.19-3.41vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-0.23-3.29vs Predicted
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20San Diego State University-0.19-4.87vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.45-0.56vs Predicted
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22University of California at Berkeley0.31-8.93vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego-1.72-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.75Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.135.5%1st Place
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5.97University of California at Los Angeles1.7912.3%1st Place
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5.79University of Southern California1.8913.3%1st Place
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6.82University of California at Santa Barbara1.7410.2%1st Place
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10.11University of California at Santa Cruz0.914.3%1st Place
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7.53University of California at Los Angeles1.308.1%1st Place
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9.4University of Rhode Island0.885.7%1st Place
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12.3University of Southern California0.383.0%1st Place
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10.18University of California at Berkeley0.984.5%1st Place
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11.79University of California at San Diego0.683.4%1st Place
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14.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.272.4%1st Place
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15.35University of California at San Diego-0.151.5%1st Place
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12.89San Diego State University0.292.8%1st Place
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9.79California Poly Maritime Academy0.975.1%1st Place
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11.99University of California at San Diego0.523.0%1st Place
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11.56Arizona State University0.743.2%1st Place
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11.06University of California at Santa Cruz0.863.6%1st Place
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14.59University of California at Davis-0.191.8%1st Place
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15.71University of California at Los Angeles-0.231.1%1st Place
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15.13San Diego State University-0.192.1%1st Place
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20.44Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.450.3%1st Place
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13.07University of California at Berkeley0.312.4%1st Place
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20.73University of California at San Diego-1.720.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kai Ponting | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Grant Janov | 12.3% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Davis Winsor | 13.3% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alexander | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Olson | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Marianna Shand | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Edward Ansart | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Noah Barton | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Groom | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| Tobie Bloom | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 2.8% |
| Ian Collignon | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Ben Louttit | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Alexander | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Boylan | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Blake Roberts | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 1.8% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 3.5% |
| Morgan Burton | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 2.3% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 23.6% | 40.2% |
| Wilton Lawton | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Michael Nodini | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 23.5% | 44.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.