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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.30+6.57vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.79+3.99vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.88+6.25vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.74+2.79vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.13+4.73vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy0.97+3.71vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.98+2.79vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.52+3.68vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University0.74+2.65vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27+4.42vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California1.89-5.23vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.91-1.96vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California0.38-0.51vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University0.29-1.10vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-0.23+0.78vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego0.68-4.24vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-0.15-1.48vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-7.19vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-0.19-4.07vs Predicted
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20University of California at Berkeley0.31-7.02vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.45-0.66vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-1.72-1.30vs Predicted
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23San Diego State University-0.19-7.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.57University of California at Los Angeles1.308.1%1st Place
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5.99University of California at Los Angeles1.7912.3%1st Place
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9.25University of Rhode Island0.885.3%1st Place
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6.79University of California at Santa Barbara1.7410.0%1st Place
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9.73Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.134.9%1st Place
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9.71California Poly Maritime Academy0.975.3%1st Place
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9.79University of California at Berkeley0.985.5%1st Place
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11.68University of California at San Diego0.523.2%1st Place
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11.65Arizona State University0.743.7%1st Place
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14.42Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.271.7%1st Place
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5.77University of Southern California1.8911.6%1st Place
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10.04University of California at Santa Cruz0.914.8%1st Place
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12.49University of Southern California0.382.5%1st Place
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12.9San Diego State University0.292.8%1st Place
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15.78University of California at Los Angeles-0.231.4%1st Place
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11.76University of California at San Diego0.683.4%1st Place
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15.52University of California at San Diego-0.151.5%1st Place
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10.81University of California at Santa Cruz0.865.3%1st Place
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14.93University of California at Davis-0.191.8%1st Place
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12.98University of California at Berkeley0.313.2%1st Place
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20.34Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.450.4%1st Place
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20.7University of California at San Diego-1.720.2%1st Place
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15.41San Diego State University-0.191.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marianna Shand | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grant Janov | 12.3% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Alexander | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ben Louttit | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Alexander | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Boylan | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Groom | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Davis Winsor | 11.6% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin Olson | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Ian Collignon | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 3.5% |
| Noah Barton | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Tobie Bloom | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 3.8% |
| Blake Roberts | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 2.1% |
| Wilton Lawton | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 24.0% | 40.1% |
| Michael Nodini | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 24.1% | 43.3% |
| Morgan Burton | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.