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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.48+2.99vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.12+2.00vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.99+0.65vs Predicted
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4University of Florida-0.86+3.85vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.26-2.25vs Predicted
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6Rollins College-0.13-0.33vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-0.92-0.17vs Predicted
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8University of Miami-0.75-1.39vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University0.01-4.01vs Predicted
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10University of Central Florida-3.16+0.19vs Predicted
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11Florida State University-2.55-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.99Jacksonville University0.4814.8%1st Place
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4.0Clemson University0.1215.2%1st Place
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3.65University of South Florida0.9917.0%1st Place
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7.85University of Florida-0.861.8%1st Place
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2.75College of Charleston1.2628.3%1st Place
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5.67Rollins College-0.136.3%1st Place
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6.83University of North Carolina-0.923.2%1st Place
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6.61University of Miami-0.753.5%1st Place
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4.99North Carolina State University0.018.6%1st Place
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10.19University of Central Florida-3.160.1%1st Place
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9.48Florida State University-2.550.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 14.8% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 16.5% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ashton Loring | 15.2% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kalea Woodard | 17.0% | 17.6% | 17.3% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ava Moring | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 16.2% | 27.0% | 18.2% | 5.5% |
| Emily Alfortish | 28.3% | 24.4% | 18.2% | 13.5% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scott | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 14.1% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Emma Gumny | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 20.2% | 18.1% | 8.1% | 1.4% |
| Daniella Woodbridge | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 18.6% | 16.8% | 7.4% | 0.8% |
| Lyla Solway | 8.6% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 14.5% | 10.2% | 5.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Ashley Flanagan | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 6.7% | 22.7% | 61.3% |
| Olivia Figley | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 13.4% | 39.0% | 30.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.