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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.50+6.29vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.22+6.45vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.86+6.97vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.23+4.71vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.48+2.60vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.79+0.49vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.74+3.52vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.92+1.63vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.50-1.58vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-2.37vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.39-3.06vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.73-1.59vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.67-6.24vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.02-4.82vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30-6.66vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95-6.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.29Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.45College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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9.97University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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8.71Dartmouth College3.230.0%1st Place
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7.6Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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6.49Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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10.52Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.63Connecticut College2.920.0%1st Place
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7.42Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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7.63St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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7.94Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.41Bowdoin College2.730.0%1st Place
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6.76Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.18University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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8.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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9.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Dennis | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
| Corey Hall | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 10.7% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 8.5% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 15.9% |
| Lucy Wallace | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 10.0% |
| Emily Maxwell | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% |
| Mayumi Roller | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Morgan Wilson | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% |
| Charlotte Williamson | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 17.1% |
| Emily Lambert | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.7% |
| Krysta Rohde | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.3% |
| Katii Gullick | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.